NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	99		Excitement	7.4 [336]		MVP	Jaren Jackson (SAS): +17.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	1.4 [1026]		LVP	Tyrone Nesby (LAC): -37.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.12	-0.00	7	62%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mario Elie	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Terry Porter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	9	60%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Chucky Brown	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	9	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jerome Kersey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Tim Duncan	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	0.02	0.00	24	40%	-0.07	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	14	47%	-0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	7	53%	-0.04	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.02	17	72%	0.21	3	-0.13	5	100%	0.05
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Charles R. Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Avent	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.06	4	-0.12	10	80%	0.03
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	13	56%	0.00	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	8	19%	-0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.34,-0.37	-0.37	-0.23	-0.12	0.02	11	21%	-0.25	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	32.5	15.4	24.5	2.4	37.6	140.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +17.3%

LAC -7.8%

SAS +21.0%

SAS +21.6%

LAC -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	14.5	15.2	101.0	94.9	101.7
season	15.5	15.6		101.6	95.5
opponent	14.3	15.4		107.1	95.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.0	14.2	16.3	13.6	14.7
LAC	14.4	14.6	15.0	14.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	86	87	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-11	27	14.8	14.2	0.66	14.9	11.5	3.41
Avery Johnson	83	83	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-6	17	14.5	16.2	-1.72	14.8	13.1	1.71
David Robinson	56	57	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	-2	9	15.1	14.2	0.89	14.2	14.9	-0.63
Mario Elie	48	48	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	-5	15	14.0	15.5	-1.46	15.2	13.8	1.38
Jaren Jackson	50	51	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.38	-5	10	-15	15.5	14.0	1.46	13.8	15.2	-1.38
Chucky Brown	35	36	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	-1	7	13.7	15.3	-1.65	15.4	14.0	1.40
Terry Porter	55	57	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.37	-7	12	-19	15.0	14.4	0.66	13.9	15.3	-1.41
Jerome Kersey	23	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	16.6	14.2	2.44	13.5	14.8	-1.22
Malik Rose	23	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	10	-15	12.9	15.3	-2.39	14.1	14.6	-0.47
Samaki Walker	31	31	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	13	-21	15.2	14.5	0.66	14.1	14.7	-0.58

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles R. Jones	14	12	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.02	6	-11	17	12.9	14.8	-1.82	13.4	14.9	-1.51
Anthony Avent	5	5	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-7	9	12.6	14.6	-2.00	10.6	15.0	-4.37
Michael Olowokandi	77	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-3	1	14.7	13.6	1.10	15.3	13.0	2.28
Troy Hudson	70	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	5	-15	14.5	14.4	0.11	14.1	16.0	-1.88
Derek Anderson	82	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-9	13	14.5	14.3	0.24	15.0	13.2	1.86
Brian Skinner	71	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-5	5	14.4	14.7	-0.36	14.6	15.1	-0.46
Tyrone Nesby	64	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.37	0	-5	5	14.3	14.9	-0.60	14.5	15.1	-0.57
Maurice Taylor	48	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.27	-10	5	-15	14.6	14.4	0.17	14.3	15.2	-0.92
Lamar Odom	64	67	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.30	-15	10	-25	14.9	13.8	1.03	15.6	12.9	2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.27,0.31,0.47,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.05,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.39,0.21,0.06,0.02,0	92.7%
DAL 93, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.28,0.19,0.07,0.04,0,0	92.1%
SAS 91, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.34,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.02,0	91.9%