NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	13.1 [6]		MVP	Danny Green (PHI): +34.0%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	11.4 [110]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -56.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.26,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.34	0.04	0.30	-0.01	8	69%	0.38	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.03	0.18	-0.00	5	60%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Furkan Korkmaz	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	9	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Tyrese Maxey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.03	0.08	-0.06	-0.01	15	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Tobias Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.17,-0.3,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.46,0	-0.11	0.09	-0.02	18	43%	0.31	4	-0.31	11	82%	0.14
Tony Bradley	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Dwight Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.57	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.52,-0.52,-0.52,-0.42,-0.42,-0.57	-0.15	-0.43	-0.01	17	44%	-0.10	7	-0.47	2	0%	-0.14

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.01	0.15	-0.01	5	60%	0.19	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,0.05,-0.08,0.06,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.00	17	56%	0.16	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	6	76%	0.15	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.05
Obi Toppin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
RJ Barrett	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	17	53%	0.09	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	38%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.07
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.38	-0.38	-0.10	-0.27	0.01	23	44%	-0.11	5	-0.27	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	30.2	15.4	30.3	1.8	42.3	2.5	19.2	168.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +27.7%

PHI +33.7%

PHI +0.1%

NYK -40.8%

PHI +29.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	15.2	14.4	100.0	96.2	111.3
season	14.5	15.2		112.6	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.2		107.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	13.1	15.6	16.5	16.2	21.8	15.8
NYK	16.9	12.7	15.5	15.8	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shake Milton	54	56	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.81	5	-4	9	16.5	15.0	1.49	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Matisse Thybulle	37	36	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	-2	5	15.2	16.2	-0.99	15.8	14.9	0.90
Mike Scott	27	27	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.36	1	0	1	16.8	15.5	1.28	18.0	14.2	3.74
Tobias Harris	70	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	1	-1	15.7	16.2	-0.46	14.7	16.3	-1.62
Tyrese Maxey	27	27	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	-3	7	15.4	16.0	-0.64	17.8	14.3	3.54
Ben Simmons	73	75	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.34	-3	4	-7	16.2	15.0	1.16	14.3	17.4	-3.08
Danny Green	64	69	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	3	-5	15.5	16.4	-0.93	14.2	17.2	-2.98
Tony Bradley	41	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	0	1	13.8	17.2	-3.39	14.3	15.8	-1.56
Dwight Howard	58	59	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	3	-5	17.2	14.0	3.13	16.0	14.2	1.83
Furkan Korkmaz	54	56	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.12	-2	3	-5	15.6	16.1	-0.54	15.2	15.2	0.01

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Immanuel Quickley	54	52	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.25	2	-3	5	15.1	15.3	-0.13	14.4	17.4	-3.04
Nerlens Noel	66	62	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-1	1	14.3	16.7	-2.31	14.8	17.5	-2.64
RJ Barrett	80	76	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-6	11	14.5	17.5	-3.05	15.5	16.9	-1.43
Frank Ntilikina	30	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	1	-3	16.3	14.8	1.51	16.9	15.3	1.60
Julius Randle	90	89	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.42	6	-7	13	14.9	17.2	-2.34	15.7	16.7	-0.94
Mitchell Robinson	30	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	2	-5	16.9	14.5	2.40	16.8	15.5	1.32
Obi Toppin	14	12	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	6	-13	17.2	14.9	2.34	16.7	15.7	0.94
Reggie Bullock	71	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.49	1	-2	3	14.4	16.9	-2.47	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Alec Burks	54	53	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.50	-6	5	-11	16.5	13.8	2.68	16.8	14.8	2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.31,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.46,0.55,0.39,0.33,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 126, SAS 123	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.05,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.33,0.83,0	87.0%
DAL 95, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.32,0.22,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	86.6%
CHI 114, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.05,0	86.6%