inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 114 Excitement8.0 [233] MVPJoe Smith (CHI): +27.7%
Golden State Warriors 108 Comeback2.2 [104] LVPAndres Nocioni (CHI): -11.6%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Smith0.280,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.280.150.140.011175%0.342-0.071493%0.10
Tyrus Thomas0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.260.040.240.01862%0.312-0.05887%0.01
Chris Duhon0.210,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.210.220.020.041683%0.293-0.08989%0.03
Joakim Noah-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.02-0.01546%0.083-0.10367%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01748%0.012-0.0470%-0.14
Thabo Sefolosha-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.02-0.01760%0.136-0.171100%0.01
Adrian Griffin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00367%0.053-0.1000%0.00
Andres Nocioni-0.120,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.010.02937%-0.063-0.06667%-0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.200.100.051289%0.291-0.04475%0.00
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.070.08-0.011661%0.222-0.061100%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.13,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.04-0.001944%0.102-0.085100%0.05
Chris Webber0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Baron Davis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.01-0.022442%0.053-0.094100%0.05
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.00337%-0.042-0.04250%-0.03
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.050.021146%-0.032-0.064100%0.02
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.07-0.00527%-0.091-0.021100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.831.019.829.03.441.7152.1
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +51.3%
CHI +12.8%
CHI +8.7%
GSW -30.1%
CHI +7.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIGSWNBACHIGSWNBA
this game14.612.315.4106.5100.9105.7
season15.013.5102.2109.8
opponent15.115.5107.9105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.513.616.913.914.6
GSW12.612.612.611.412.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyrus Thomas58570.68-0.180.850.3810-41415.014.20.7412.611.90.73
Joe Smith97980.470.030.440.2960614.516.1-1.6112.114.7-2.62
Joakim Noah34340.420.080.350.1310-41413.815.1-1.2912.412.20.25
Adrian Griffin36360.380.120.250.148-21014.914.50.4113.311.71.60
Thabo Sefolosha87880.340.160.190.2633014.116.9-2.7712.212.8-0.63
Chris Duhon91900.280.220.060.2515-415.012.42.6012.013.9-1.99
Andres Nocioni74740.130.37-0.230.22-39-1214.415.3-0.9111.913.2-1.36
Ben Wallace5858-0.200.70-0.90-0.06-511-1615.413.71.7212.711.71.03

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Webber27270.03-0.530.570.030-6612.112.3-0.1616.014.21.76
Mickael Pietrus5150-0.11-0.390.28-0.234-101412.212.4-0.2214.314.9-0.65
Andris Biedrins7978-0.24-0.260.01-0.10-5-1-412.711.11.5314.913.91.03
Monta Ellis8382-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.21-3-3011.813.7-1.9114.216.2-1.98
Baron Davis9595-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.26-4-2-212.312.4-0.1614.614.7-0.02
Stephen Jackson9696-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.36-1-5412.212.5-0.2014.912.12.85
Matt Barnes4749-0.540.04-0.58-0.28-93-1211.812.7-0.9013.415.7-2.21
Al Harrington5758-0.570.07-0.65-0.22-126-1813.011.51.5215.114.11.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 90, VAN 850.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.76,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.14,0.19,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.32,0.26,092.4%
CHI 102, TOR 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.43,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.15,0.23,0.04,092.0%
WAS 114, MIA 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.2,0.06,0.25,0.37,0.57,0.05,091.7%