inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 126 Excitement10.8 [25] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +53.0%
San Antonio Spurs 123 Comeback12.9 [62] LVPMalik Rose (SAS): -33.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Nash0.350,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0,0.03,0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.35-0.000.360.012155%0.443-0.09771%-0.03
Tim Hardaway0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.27-0.000.27-0.00883%0.476-0.202100%0.02
Dirk Nowitzki0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.110.040.04-0.021763%0.253-0.14786%0.03
Michael Finley0.110,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.11,0.11,0.110.040.070.001674%0.336-0.236100%0.11
Danny Manning0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.010.00685%0.1000.001100%0.01
Evan Eschmeyer0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.020.00470%0.051-0.05250%-0.02
Juwan Howard-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.00850%-0.011-0.024100%0.04
Wang Zhi-zhi-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.55,0.530.530.180.360.012875%0.806-0.2715100%0.12
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.28-0.020.28-0.01847%0.301-0.031100%0.01
Steven Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.02-0.02952%0.0600.003100%0.02
David Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.00572%0.072-0.06887%0.03
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.01-0.00350%0.0000.002100%0.02
Charles Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00550%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.100.001146%-0.1100.00450%-0.08
Tony Parker0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.13-0.050.00928%-0.094-0.1000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.33-0.33-0.04-0.290.00755%-0.062-0.278100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.62.033.316.427.82.038.22.513.5158.3
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.01.716.7149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +63.1%
SAS -24.3%
DAL +13.2%
SAS -13.0%
DAL +11.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSASNBADALSASNBA
this game14.215.215.6115.6115.0102.3
season14.815.8109.6104.3
opponent15.715.598.0105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL12.013.613.917.514.214.2
SAS18.512.515.513.817.615.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juwan Howard68680.91-0.411.310.707-41113.715.0-1.2615.914.21.71
Dirk Nowitzki1041030.60-0.100.690.368-51314.116.4-2.2915.412.23.11
Tim Hardaway61600.52-0.020.530.375-2714.713.61.0514.815.8-1.01
Michael Finley1041020.470.030.440.4121114.312.61.6915.313.81.51
Steve Nash82800.410.090.320.3812-114.214.2-0.0115.414.60.82
Eduardo Najera5656-0.070.57-0.630.17-811-1914.713.70.9213.717.0-3.28
Wang Zhi-zhi3028-0.070.57-0.63-0.04-14-514.514.10.4413.815.8-1.97
Evan Eschmeyer54-0.100.60-0.690.05-58-1316.414.12.2912.215.4-3.11
Danny Manning3534-0.170.67-0.83-0.346-3913.114.7-1.6217.914.03.83

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Daniels35350.29-0.791.070.174-71115.115.3-0.1513.914.4-0.48
Charles Smith26270.12-0.620.740.033-6913.815.7-1.9515.913.72.23
David Robinson53530.03-0.530.55-0.001-4515.215.3-0.1113.514.9-1.33
Tony Parker4648-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.07-85-1316.014.71.2912.915.2-2.31
Terry Porter6666-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.432-5714.516.4-1.9414.813.31.58
Tim Duncan101103-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.42-1-2115.314.01.3214.312.02.34
Steven Smith8688-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.44-1-2115.912.53.3814.114.5-0.33
Malik Rose6062-0.580.08-0.66-0.40-63-915.215.3-0.1714.613.70.86
Bruce Bowen6263-0.760.26-1.03-0.50-96-1515.215.2-0.0014.114.4-0.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.05,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.33,0.83,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 97, UTA 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.3,0.35,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.1,0.1,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.42,090.0%
GSW 116, LAL 1140.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.25,0.24,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.42,088.2%
SAS 116, POR 1110.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.51,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.46,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.57,0.82,088.2%