inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 127 Excitement8.7 [167] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +73.2%
Denver Nuggets 131 Comeback75.9 [31] LVPLauri Markkanen (CHI): -7.0%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.0.370,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.370.150.22-0.001385%0.432-0.0600%0.00
Zach LaVine0.240,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.240.120.11-0.002065%0.343-0.109100%0.14
Coby White0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.05-0.011365%0.183-0.0800%0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.01-0.00564%0.0600.001100%0.00
Denzel Valentine0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.00-0.02662%0.071-0.021100%0.00
Patrick Williams0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.01737%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Thaddeus Young-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.05-0.080.01773%0.092-0.1310%-0.02
Tomas Satoransky-0.050,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.00380%0.054-0.10475%0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.030.01543%-0.0500.00425%-0.05
Lauri Markkanen-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.040.021143%-0.051-0.0210%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0,0.49,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.730.730.130.59-0.022077%1.017-0.284100%0.02
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.30.300.160.13-0.012365%0.311-0.01667%0.05
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.060.070.001458%0.141-0.02580%0.01
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.000.013133%0.0900.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.020.02583%0.092-0.052100%0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00440%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Facundo Campazzo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00150%0.001-0.042100%0.01
Will Barton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.040.001544%-0.0400.00650%-0.02
PJ Dozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.00633%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game21.42.624.515.433.20.338.12.712.6150.8
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.72.315.8135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +49.5%
CHI -6.8%
CHI -5.3%
DEN +11.1%
DEN +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIDENNBACHIDENNBA
this game14.814.714.4117.6121.3111.3
season14.515.0109.9116.0
opponent14.414.3112.3111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHI15.613.516.315.610.614.8
DEN15.712.215.714.417.614.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Denzel Valentine41390.30-0.801.090.097-111814.814.70.0115.414.31.04
Coby White48490.23-0.730.960.143-71013.515.7-2.2114.714.7-0.08
Wendell Carter Jr.46460.14-0.640.790.17-1-3214.914.60.2515.114.40.68
Patrick Williams41410.01-0.510.530.13-40-417.513.14.4514.814.60.18
Ryan Arcidiacono3435-0.03-0.470.430.02-2-2015.414.50.8813.815.1-1.32
Lauri Markkanen6060-0.08-0.420.35-0.132-6816.612.44.2713.216.5-3.29
Zach LaVine7777-0.530.03-0.57-0.50-1-3214.315.9-1.5715.113.71.43
Tomas Satoransky6462-0.620.12-0.74-0.42-73-1014.914.60.3114.814.60.23
Otto Porter Jr.6061-0.700.20-0.89-0.46-84-1212.917.1-4.2415.014.30.78
Thaddeus Young5959-0.730.23-0.95-0.58-51-614.515.0-0.5314.415.1-0.67

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Porter Jr.85830.77-0.271.040.4212-82014.914.00.8315.013.81.24
Facundo Campazzo67680.73-0.230.950.4310-61615.014.10.9214.415.3-0.87
Will Barton81800.63-0.130.760.408-41214.814.40.3315.213.61.59
Nikola Jokic86850.61-0.110.720.475-1615.113.31.7914.416.0-1.59
Jamal Murray89900.52-0.020.550.4722014.415.9-1.4614.516.0-1.50
Zeke Nnaji2324-0.040.54-0.58-0.0404-413.315.1-1.7115.414.60.80
JaMychal Green3436-0.130.63-0.76-0.1613-214.514.8-0.2814.614.8-0.21
PJ Dozier3938-0.230.73-0.96-0.09-59-1414.215.0-0.8513.615.4-1.77
Paul Millsap3636-0.360.86-1.230.02-1317-3014.814.60.2116.114.12.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.15,0.07,0.1,0.29,0.55,0.09,0.54,0.75,0.93,0.97,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 106, DEN 1090.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.46,0.69,0.74,0.91,0.59,189.1%
LAC 113, CLE 1180.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.38,0.26,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.28,0.31,0.17,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.9,0.96,188.9%
LAC 95, TOR 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.03,0,0,0.54,0.69,0.94,0.99,0.99,188.6%