NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	113		Excitement	9.4 [112]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +21.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	118		Comeback	13.9 [174]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -42.8%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	10	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	72%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	12	77%	0.11	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05
Jawun Evans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	43%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.13	0.10	-0.01	16	37%	0.10	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.02	-0.04	18	42%	0.15	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.02
Sam Dekker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.43	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.03,-0.05,-0.33,-0.4,-0.4,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	25	41%	-0.41	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.22,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.10	0.02	26	68%	0.55	6	-0.33	5	20%	-0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.08	-0.01	18	62%	0.24	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.01	5	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	5	69%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	7	36%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-0.19	0.00	16	51%	-0.11	2	-0.06	13	85%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	32.2	14.7	26.2	1.8	32.0	2.4	14.5	149.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +53.7%

CLE +10.0%

CLE +6.9%

LAC -15.2%

LAC -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CLE	NBA	LAC	CLE	NBA
this game	14.6	13.5	14.7	99.1	105.4	107.5
season	14.2	14.8		109.2	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.6		110.6	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	14.7	13.4	14.4	16.9	13.3	14.6
CLE	14.1	12.7	14.4	13.1	12.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	92	89	0.72	-1.22	1.94	0.37	12	-17	29	14.2	16.5	-2.37	14.3	10.4	3.86
Montrezl Harrell	31	29	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.06	2	-7	9	13.9	14.9	-1.00	11.7	14.1	-2.40
Sam Dekker	42	41	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-3	1	13.6	15.2	-1.60	12.6	14.0	-1.37
Jawun Evans	11	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-2	-1	16.2	14.5	1.72	12.7	13.6	-0.90
Austin Rivers	75	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-11	17	14.4	15.1	-0.64	13.7	13.2	0.52
Sindarius Thornwell	67	65	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.38	-8	3	-11	15.4	13.6	1.80	13.2	13.9	-0.71
DeAndre Jordan	83	83	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	2	-9	14.9	13.9	1.00	14.1	11.7	2.40
Blake Griffin	88	86	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.44	-8	3	-11	15.0	13.5	1.42	14.0	12.0	1.95
Lou Williams	81	79	-1.11	0.61	-1.71	-0.61	-17	12	-29	14.7	14.5	0.25	12.8	15.2	-2.43

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	61	63	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.32	24	-19	43	11.7	15.6	-3.87	15.4	13.7	1.75
Dwyane Wade	78	81	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.32	19	-14	33	12.6	15.5	-2.83	15.0	13.8	1.10
Kevin Love	87	86	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.43	9	-4	13	14.0	11.9	2.09	15.1	13.2	1.93
LeBron James	94	96	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.31	1	4	-3	14.2	10.1	4.10	15.0	12.7	2.27
JR Smith	74	74	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.52	-8	13	-21	14.7	11.1	3.66	14.4	15.1	-0.80
Cedi Osman	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	7	-9	1.0	13.6	-12.61	8.0	14.7	-6.69
Jae Crowder	56	57	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	4	-3	14.6	12.4	2.11	14.4	14.9	-0.46
Jeff Green	36	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	8	-11	12.0	14.2	-2.21	14.1	14.9	-0.82
Iman Shumpert	26	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	13	-21	13.2	13.6	-0.45	12.7	15.2	-2.57
Channing Frye	25	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.08	-4	9	-13	11.9	14.0	-2.09	13.2	15.1	-1.93
Jose Calderon	22	20	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.09	-4	9	-13	15.2	13.1	2.09	14.8	14.6	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.38,0.26,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.28,0.31,0.17,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 104, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.24,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.99,1	88.8%
PHX 83, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.43,0.32,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.91,0.91,1	88.6%
NYK 124, LAC 128	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.32,0.15,0.54,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.83,1	88.6%