NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	124		Excitement	11.6 [24]		MVP	Steve Novak (LAC): +64.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	128		Comeback	9.5 [149]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -46.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.11	0.18	0.00	20	64%	0.35	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	10	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.07
Nate Robinson	0.13	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.07,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13	0.10	0.01	-0.02	28	54%	0.19	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Tim Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Roberson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.04	15	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.26,-0.16,-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	24	37%	-0.04	3	-0.17	4	50%	-0.08

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64	0.64	0.25	0.39	-0.00	10	110%	0.64	0	0.00	1	100%	0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.36	0.36	0.19	0.17	-0.00	16	75%	0.51	3	-0.16	8	75%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.14	0.01	5	93%	0.28	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21	0.21	-0.00	0.23	0.01	20	54%	0.36	4	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	19	51%	0.01	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.56,-0.46	-0.46	-0.15	-0.29	0.02	17	36%	-0.33	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.4	1.7	28.3	16.4	28.1	1.8	34.1	1.6	16.7	152.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +86.0%

NYK -10.5%

NYK -27.0%

NYK -15.9%

LAC +17.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAC	NBA	NYK	LAC	NBA
this game	13.6	15.2	15.5	110.7	117.4	106.4
season	13.8	15.7		106.2	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.5		109.8	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	12.4	12.3	14.8	15.9	12.2	13.6
LAC	15.9	14.4	14.6	14.7	17.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	20	18	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.13	3	-7	10	13.5	13.6	-0.09	15.4	15.1	0.32
Tim Thomas	10	9	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-9	14	11.7	13.8	-2.11	17.6	15.0	2.60
Danilo Gallinari	39	37	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.06	0	-4	4	12.5	14.2	-1.67	14.6	15.4	-0.80
Anthony Roberson	14	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	0	-4	12.8	13.7	-0.96	14.1	15.3	-1.25
Nate Robinson	108	106	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.48	5	-9	14	13.5	18.2	-4.80	15.3	9.0	6.35
David Lee	91	86	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.47	-4	0	-4	13.9	12.2	1.71	15.3	14.7	0.61
Al Harrington	88	89	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.40	-8	4	-12	13.8	13.0	0.74	14.9	16.5	-1.68
Wilson Chandler	103	101	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.37	-9	5	-14	13.8	11.6	2.25	15.1	15.9	-0.76
Jared Jeffries	87	86	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.41	-8	4	-12	14.0	12.4	1.63	15.3	14.7	0.61

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Thornton	85	88	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.57	7	-3	10	15.3	14.6	0.76	13.2	15.0	-1.80
Eric Gordon	88	90	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.50	9	-5	14	15.1	15.6	-0.49	13.9	12.4	1.57
Zach Randolph	86	89	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.39	6	-2	8	15.4	14.3	1.05	14.1	11.6	2.54
Baron Davis	89	91	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-3	10	15.4	14.0	1.44	14.0	12.0	1.94
Steve Novak	67	69	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	-4	12	15.1	15.3	-0.18	13.7	13.4	0.30
Fred Jones	64	67	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.11	2	2	0	14.2	16.6	-2.35	13.5	13.8	-0.29
DeAndre Jordan	4	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	8	-12	16.0	15.1	0.86	8.3	13.8	-5.44
Ricky Davis	62	63	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	-0.07	-15	19	-34	15.4	14.9	0.57	12.7	14.8	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.32,0.15,0.54,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 83, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.43,0.32,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.91,0.91,1	90.7%
PHI 109, DET 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.46,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.97,0.99,1	90.5%
POR 113, IND 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.78,0.98,1	89.8%