NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	115		Excitement	8.9 [150]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +51.7%
Toronto Raptors	112		Comeback	13.6 [118]		LVP	Mike Conley (UTA): -8.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.52	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.52	0.07	0.43	-0.02	20	55%	0.58	3	-0.06	16	94%	0.11
Joe Ingles	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.20	0.08	-0.00	6	119%	0.32	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Rudy Gobert	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.01	9	60%	0.22	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	6	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Derrick Favors	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	13	39%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Georges Niang	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.15,-0.08	-0.06	0.00	0.02	10	56%	0.08	6	-0.16	7	57%	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.04	0.17	-0.03	14	57%	0.30	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	8	94%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.01	22	55%	0.21	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.06
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.00	10	73%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	9	78%	0.21	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.01	15	52%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	1.8	25.9	13.7	31.7	2.5	35.3	142.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -17.1%

UTA +59.0%

UTA +15.1%

TOR -5.7%

TOR -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	14.7	14.4	119.8	117.9	111.3
season	14.5	14.2		116.4	111.0
opponent	14.6	14.5		111.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.5	11.8	16.8	15.0	15.4
TOR	11.5	17.0	16.0	14.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	62	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	-2	7	16.0	14.4	1.60	15.4	13.3	2.15
Mike Conley	68	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	1	1	13.9	19.1	-5.17	14.4	15.5	-1.12
Jordan Clarkson	43	42	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	-7	17	15.6	15.3	0.33	16.2	13.5	2.66
Rudy Gobert	74	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.51	-4	7	-11	14.9	17.4	-2.49	14.3	16.0	-1.79
Georges Niang	31	29	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	1	1	15.6	15.4	0.20	15.9	14.2	1.76
Royce O'Neale	60	60	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	4	-5	15.4	15.5	-0.13	13.7	16.3	-2.59
Donovan Mitchell	69	69	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.25	-2	5	-7	15.8	14.4	1.40	14.1	16.2	-2.05
Derrick Favors	22	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	-4	11	17.4	14.9	2.49	16.0	14.3	1.79
Bojan Bogdanovic	51	51	-0.15	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	7	-11	16.1	14.8	1.30	14.2	15.3	-1.06

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aron Baynes	14	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	2	-7	18.1	14.1	3.95	12.8	15.9	-3.10
Kyle Lowry	70	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.30	5	-8	13	13.4	18.3	-4.85	15.9	14.1	1.85
Pascal Siakam	64	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.40	8	-11	19	15.0	14.2	0.81	16.3	13.7	2.55
Norman Powell	72	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-6	9	14.4	15.8	-1.42	15.9	14.0	1.85
Fred VanVleet	82	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-4	5	14.5	15.8	-1.32	15.4	15.7	-0.31
OG Anunoby	67	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.41	3	-6	9	14.9	14.4	0.49	15.8	14.6	1.28
Paul Watson	31	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	8	-19	14.2	15.0	-0.81	13.7	16.3	-2.55
Malachi Flynn	34	34	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	6	-15	16.7	13.6	3.07	14.9	15.8	-0.92
Chris Boucher	41	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	7	-17	14.8	14.6	0.22	14.7	16.0	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.2,0.07,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.43,0.66,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 106, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.55,0.76,0.73,0	90.0%
SAC 99, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.69,0.42,0	89.8%
BOS 91, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.81,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.29,0.14,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.72,0	89.7%