NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	9.3 [88]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +17.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	95		Comeback	3.4 [267]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -32.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,0.18	0.03	0.16	0.02	22	59%	0.26	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.01	0.12	-0.00	11	46%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Scot Pollard	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	83%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.02	-0.01	13	32%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.13	0.00	6	62%	-0.10	2	-0.07	9	56%	-0.14
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	11	40%	-0.10	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Mike Bibby	-0.32	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.32,-0.32	-0.13	-0.19	0.00	16	33%	-0.27	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	15	60%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.12,0.01,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	7	64%	0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	7	42%	-0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	21	49%	-0.02	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	25	45%	-0.07	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	41.2	1.6	31.1	15.8	25.1	1.7	36.2	152.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +3.1%

SAC +23.5%

SAC +14.3%

SAC +13.6%

SEA -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SEA	NBA	SAC	SEA	NBA
this game	14.0	16.0	15.6	103.1	99.0	102.3
season	14.2	16.0		106.6	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		103.9	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.8	12.7	14.1	16.9	14.0
SEA	15.4	15.6	15.9	17.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	56	56	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.39	6	-2	8	14.1	13.8	0.26	16.6	15.3	1.28
Mike Bibby	85	85	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	-3	10	13.3	19.1	-5.77	16.1	15.6	0.43
Peja Stojakovic	87	88	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.42	1	3	-2	14.0	14.2	-0.27	15.8	18.9	-3.11
Scot Pollard	58	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.13	6	-2	8	14.7	12.8	1.88	16.9	14.6	2.30
Doug Christie	81	80	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	7	-10	13.8	15.1	-1.29	15.1	20.7	-5.67
Bobby Jackson	33	33	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	1	2	14.8	13.5	1.32	17.6	15.2	2.37
Vlade Divac	71	72	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	7	-10	13.9	14.2	-0.30	15.2	18.6	-3.47
Gerald Wallace	9	8	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	1	2	14.2	14.0	0.27	18.9	15.8	3.11

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Art Long	15	16	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-8	12	15.6	16.1	-0.50	14.7	13.8	0.92
Predrag Drobnjak	13	11	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-4	4	16.1	16.0	0.06	15.8	13.7	2.08
Vin Baker	82	84	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-2	0	15.4	19.6	-4.16	13.9	14.3	-0.40
Earl Watson	38	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	0	-4	18.4	14.5	3.93	14.5	13.7	0.83
Gary Payton	87	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-2	0	15.7	19.0	-3.29	13.8	15.9	-2.11
Rashard Lewis	64	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.34	-2	-2	0	16.0	16.1	-0.06	14.3	13.2	1.06
Desmond Mason	66	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	0	-4	16.3	15.3	1.05	13.6	14.7	-1.11
Brent Barry	64	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	15.1	17.8	-2.69	13.9	14.1	-0.23
Vladimir Radmanovic	51	48	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.39	-7	3	-10	16.6	15.4	1.21	13.5	14.5	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.69,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 88, MIN 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.43,0.53,0	91.4%
SAS 89, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.36,0.55,0.43,0	90.8%
UTA 101, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.26,0	90.8%