inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 93 Excitement2.5 [1094] MVPBogdan Bogdanovic (ATL): +10.9%
Atlanta Hawks 116 Comeback1.1 [1036] LVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): -4.4%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Jerome0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.180.000.121090%0.0600.0000%0.00
Theo Maledon-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.011050%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Isaiah Roby-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.01567%0.022-0.032100%0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.0420%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort-0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.00844%-0.011-0.012100%0.01
Al Horford-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.011338%-0.0200.003100%0.00
Moses Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01731%-0.0300.00250%0.00
Kenrich Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.011042%-0.011-0.02450%-0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.12-0.00-0.091118%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.000.000.051849%-0.022-0.02367%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.200.000.091482%0.1100.0000%0.00
Trae Young0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.000.011568%0.112-0.02475%-0.00
John Collins0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.150.000.071179%0.0800.002100%0.00
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.013100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01844%0.0100.002100%0.01
Skylar Mays0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruno Fernando0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Onyeka Okongwu00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Goodwin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01667%-0.0130.0000%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04938%-0.011-0.00367%-0.01
Solomon Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.080.00-0.06350%0.024-0.0400%0.00
Nathan Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Huerter0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.020.000.03950%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.11.725.314.525.32.536.2128.6
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +36.2%
ATL +0.0%
ATL +10.7%
ATL +2.0%
ATL +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCATLNBAOKCATLNBA
this game15.114.514.495.9118.4111.3
season14.214.7102.4112.8
opponent14.514.0111.4112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.914.815.415.315.1
ATL11.814.615.916.014.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Jerome4951-0.04-0.460.43-0.01-1-222114.515.7-1.2014.514.40.06
Theo Maledon4545-0.04-0.460.42-0.102-252714.415.7-1.3614.514.40.05
Kenrich Williams4948-0.04-0.460.42-0.102-252714.315.9-1.5714.514.40.04
Moses Brown4749-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-211914.615.5-0.9014.514.40.06
Svi Mykhailiuk3334-0.08-0.420.33-0.05-1-222113.815.7-1.9614.414.5-0.16
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander6263-0.41-0.09-0.320.24-22-1-2115.514.31.2514.514.40.09
Al Horford5049-0.45-0.05-0.400.17-21-2-1915.514.60.9014.414.5-0.06
Isaiah Roby4850-0.46-0.04-0.420.27-252-2715.914.31.5714.414.5-0.04
Luguentz Dort4847-0.46-0.04-0.430.18-22-1-2115.714.51.2014.414.5-0.06
Aleksej Pokusevski5454-0.47-0.03-0.440.26-252-2716.014.01.9914.514.50.01

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trae Young51510.420.080.34-0.111851314.514.5-0.0215.514.60.94
John Collins60590.420.080.34-0.111851314.714.10.5815.414.70.70
Kevin Huerter52510.370.130.23-0.07158714.514.40.1715.414.70.69
Clint Capela51520.350.150.21-0.232031714.214.8-0.5916.313.72.60
Tony Snell33330.300.200.10-0.17167913.914.7-0.7816.414.41.94
Bogdan Bogdanovic60590.200.30-0.100.02617-1114.814.00.7914.516.0-1.55
Danilo Gallinari51510.200.30-0.100.02617-1114.414.5-0.0614.216.1-1.91
Solomon Hill38390.130.37-0.23-0.07716-914.314.6-0.2814.615.4-0.87
Rajon Rondo39390.080.42-0.34-0.04419-1514.414.5-0.0814.415.5-1.12
Nathan Knight26240.030.47-0.440.00122-2114.514.50.0013.715.5-1.88
Bruno Fernando550.000.50-0.50-0.03122-2114.214.5-0.2713.815.2-1.35
Onyeka Okongwu880.000.50-0.50-0.03122-2114.714.40.3215.215.10.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 94, LAC 1140.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
LAL 75, OKC 910.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
GSW 89, MEM 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%