NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	106		Excitement	4.9 [736]		MVP	Keldon Johnson (SAS): +12.4%
Chicago Bulls	99		Comeback	31.7 [39]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (CHI): -12.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keldon Johnson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.08	0.01	9	58%	0.12	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Patty Mills	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.08	0.01	11	56%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	11	74%	0.12	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.02
Dejounte Murray	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.10	0.09	-0.07	17	39%	0.09	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Drew Eubanks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	87%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Derrick White	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.05	14	49%	0.07	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Devin Vassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	11	48%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	11	23%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	21	64%	0.12	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	7	71%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	11	37%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.08	-0.05	16	50%	-0.01	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	23.6	15.3	28.5	1.8	33.2	129.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +13.4%

SAS +6.9%

CHI -0.1%

SAS +29.0%

SAS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHI	NBA	SAS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	15.0	14.4	109.3	101.0	111.3
season	14.6	14.5		109.8	109.9
opponent	14.3	14.2		111.1	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.4	14.9	14.9	12.3	14.6
CHI	13.6	13.3	17.1	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	63	66	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.18	21	-14	35	14.2	15.3	-1.14	14.5	16.0	-1.56
Dejounte Murray	76	78	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-2	11	14.8	13.6	1.26	15.6	12.5	3.05
Jakob Poeltl	68	66	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.48	2	5	-3	14.7	14.3	0.35	15.8	13.3	2.52
Keldon Johnson	64	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	4	-1	14.4	14.8	-0.35	14.8	15.3	-0.52
Derrick White	69	68	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.39	2	5	-3	14.3	15.1	-0.72	14.5	16.0	-1.52
Rudy Gay	34	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	3	1	14.5	14.6	-0.13	14.9	15.0	-0.14
Devin Vassell	43	44	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	5	-3	14.1	14.9	-0.79	14.9	15.0	-0.13
Drew Eubanks	28	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.18	5	2	3	14.7	14.5	0.17	13.7	15.6	-1.89
Lonnie Walker IV	40	38	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.07	-13	20	-33	15.5	13.9	1.61	15.5	14.6	0.85

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Denzel Valentine	15	13	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-8	9	14.5	15.1	-0.61	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Wendell Carter Jr.	36	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.28	-10	3	-13	13.8	15.7	-1.90	15.6	14.0	1.68
Zach LaVine	77	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-12	17	14.7	16.1	-1.42	14.9	13.1	1.80
Ryan Arcidiacono	21	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	5	-17	16.1	14.7	1.42	13.1	14.9	-1.77
Otto Porter Jr.	32	32	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	3	-13	14.7	15.1	-0.48	14.4	14.6	-0.18
Lauri Markkanen	68	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.34	2	-9	11	14.7	15.6	-0.94	14.8	13.9	0.94
Coby White	50	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	3	-13	13.6	16.4	-2.82	13.8	15.3	-1.47
Patrick Williams	64	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-7	7	15.2	14.6	0.64	14.6	14.4	0.27
Tomas Satoransky	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-3	-1	16.4	12.2	4.22	14.8	14.1	0.68
Thaddeus Young	62	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.58	3	-10	13	15.7	13.8	1.90	14.0	15.6	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.84,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.86,0.76,0.47,0.24,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 111, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.01,0,0	90.7%
CHA 116, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.47,0.29,0.03,0,0	90.5%
PHX 103, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.58,0.64,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.23,0.17,0	89.8%