NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	111		Excitement	4.9 [873]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAC): +31.8%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	53.6 [26]		LVP	Langston Galloway (DET): -10.5%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.2,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.17	0.19	0.05	26	62%	0.34	2	-0.02	11	100%	0.04
Mike Scott	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.14	0.12	0.01	6	107%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Boban Marjanovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	56%	0.03	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Jerome Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	9	54%	0.03	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Johnathan Motley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.02	13	52%	-0.04	1	-0.01	5	0%	-0.11
Tobias Harris	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	12	29%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	-0.00	0.04	22	63%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.16	-0.03	0.07	6	119%	0.14	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	60%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	2	62%	0.08	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	5	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.08	-0.06	23	48%	0.04	5	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.4	37.5	14.7	27.7	2.0	32.6	145.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +29.0%

DET -1.0%

LAC +8.1%

LAC +16.9%

DET -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	14.0	15.4	14.3	114.4	102.0	109.3
season	13.9	15.3		111.3	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.1		109.0	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.6	13.5	12.2	14.5	14.0
DET	13.2	15.8	17.0	15.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	42	42	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.36	13	-3	16	14.9	13.3	1.57	14.8	15.8	-1.00
Montrezl Harrell	71	71	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.09	22	-12	34	14.1	13.7	0.46	16.1	13.5	2.68
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	62	63	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	1	8	13.5	14.9	-1.49	15.8	14.7	1.04
Patrick Beverley	63	62	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.35	9	1	8	13.9	14.1	-0.15	15.0	16.0	-0.98
Lou Williams	69	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-9	28	13.9	14.2	-0.27	15.2	15.8	-0.52
Avery Bradley	53	52	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	0	10	12.7	15.6	-2.93	16.6	14.1	2.51
Tyrone Wallace	5	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	10	-10	13.4	14.0	-0.62	10.6	15.6	-5.04
Johnathan Motley	4	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.07	-3	13	-16	10.5	14.1	-3.64	12.7	15.5	-2.80
Jerome Robinson	16	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	14	-18	16.1	13.6	2.48	15.3	15.4	-0.06
Boban Marjanovic	32	36	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.09	-2	12	-14	14.4	13.8	0.62	15.0	15.6	-0.60
Marcin Gortat	9	9	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.14	-11	21	-32	14.4	13.9	0.50	11.6	15.8	-4.21
Tobias Harris	59	61	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.02	-12	22	-34	14.5	13.1	1.41	15.4	15.4	-0.06

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	24	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.26	-10	0	-10	15.8	15.2	0.59	13.5	14.1	-0.63
Zaza Pachulia	51	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	-2	-6	16.2	14.5	1.72	13.6	14.4	-0.89
Stanley Johnson	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.27	-15	5	-20	16.8	14.6	2.23	12.8	14.7	-1.93
Bruce Brown	46	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.33	5	-15	20	13.8	16.7	-2.87	15.0	13.2	1.80
Blake Griffin	87	84	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.30	1	-11	12	15.3	15.7	-0.32	14.3	11.7	2.65
Luke Kennard	34	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.20	-16	6	-22	16.1	15.0	1.16	13.3	14.4	-1.07
Langston Galloway	27	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-3	-4	15.1	15.5	-0.38	14.0	14.0	0.07
Reggie Bullock	69	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.37	2	-12	14	15.1	16.0	-0.84	14.0	14.0	0.03
Andre Drummond	46	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-8	6	14.9	15.8	-0.84	14.3	13.7	0.56
Reggie Jackson	75	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.46	0	-10	10	15.2	15.8	-0.59	14.1	13.5	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, MIN 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.47,0.29,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0	91.9%
BOS 91, ORL 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.75,0.58,0.53,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.16,0.04,0.01,0	90.7%
PHX 103, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.58,0.64,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.23,0.17,0	90.3%