inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 116 Excitement4.0 [896] MVPKristaps Porzingis (DAL): +15.4%
Denver Nuggets 103 Comeback2.0 [564] LVPPaul Millsap (DEN): -8.9%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.220.000.071583%0.1500.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.030.021177%0.161-0.024100%0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith0.090,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.01-0.00865%0.0900.001100%0.00
Luka Doncic0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.02-0.031655%0.103-0.04667%-0.01
Dwight Powell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.02-0.01460%0.0600.002100%0.01
Trey Burke0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.02550%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jalen Brunson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.021148%0.0100.003100%0.00
Josh Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Bey0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maxi Kleber-0.010,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.02667%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02944%0.012-0.0200%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.10-0.010.011764%0.122-0.042100%0.01
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.230.000.16992%0.0700.00771%0.00
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.05642%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.042057%0.073-0.04683%0.01
PJ Dozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.02-0.01-0.02736%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bol Bol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Whittington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Markus Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01350%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Vlatko Cancar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Facundo Campazzo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.0320%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.00-0.041337%-0.002-0.041100%0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.010.01925%-0.0900.0020%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.80.825.515.324.52.435.2131.6
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +46.9%
DEN -2.0%
DAL +3.3%
DAL +2.8%
DEN -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALDENNBADALDENNBA
this game16.715.114.4127.5114.4111.3
season15.015.0114.3116.0
opponent14.414.4112.3112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.415.317.019.116.7
DEN14.618.314.313.615.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Hardaway Jr.43430.500.000.49-0.1522-93116.416.9-0.4515.614.70.81
Dwight Powell38350.420.080.340.041301317.016.50.5513.915.9-1.99
Maxi Kleber62610.410.100.310.11103716.417.3-0.9714.716.0-1.23
Luka Doncic63620.400.100.300.1394516.616.9-0.3115.713.81.96
Jalen Brunson46460.230.27-0.040.0276118.115.32.8013.716.7-2.99
Josh Richardson66670.200.30-0.100.0558-316.616.9-0.3315.514.21.29
Trey Burke25230.190.31-0.120.10310-716.816.70.1114.815.3-0.47
Dorian Finney-Smith52520.080.42-0.340.14-215-1716.217.4-1.1916.014.01.96
Kristaps Porzingis53550.080.42-0.340.08013-1316.517.0-0.5515.913.91.99
Tyler Bey220.000.50-0.50-0.06211-918.516.61.8612.015.2-3.20
Josh Green540.000.50-0.500.12-417-2116.416.7-0.3011.215.3-4.06

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Markus Howard450.00-0.500.50-0.124-172111.215.3-4.0616.416.7-0.30
Bol Bol450.00-0.500.50-0.124-172111.215.3-4.0616.416.7-0.30
Greg Whittington450.00-0.500.50-0.124-172111.215.3-4.0616.416.7-0.30
Michael Porter Jr.4443-0.08-0.420.33-0.080-131315.115.10.0117.216.20.96
Zeke Nnaji911-0.11-0.390.27-0.08-1-121113.915.3-1.3814.617.0-2.33
PJ Dozier4444-0.21-0.290.070.05-9-4-514.315.9-1.5916.816.60.26
Vlatko Cancar1214-0.21-0.290.07-0.04-6-7113.115.4-2.3715.216.9-1.73
JaMychal Green3333-0.25-0.250.01-0.01-8-5-314.615.4-0.8317.916.01.93
Paul Millsap4244-0.25-0.250.01-0.07-6-7116.813.73.0515.517.8-2.29
Will Barton6867-0.26-0.24-0.020.01-9-4-515.813.02.8816.616.9-0.32
Nikola Jokic6968-0.32-0.18-0.150.03-12-1-1115.215.00.1716.417.4-0.95
Facundo Campazzo4948-0.33-0.17-0.170.02-12-1-1114.915.4-0.4717.915.32.66
Jamal Murray6868-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.06-141-1515.513.91.6216.617.0-0.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 93, PHI 720.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
SAS 103, MEM 830.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
ATL 114, DET 1030.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%