NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	114		Excitement	3.5 [1133]		MVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): +9.9%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	1.7 [773]		LVP	Jose Calderon (DET): -12.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	13	62%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Al Horford	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	13	79%	0.14	5	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.04	11	68%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	17	57%	0.05	3	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	43%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kim English	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	5	62%	0.07	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	17	61%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.17	0.00	0.15	12	81%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	9	58%	0.05	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	11	32%	-0.07	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	29.3	17.0	26.2	2.5	31.2	130.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +46.8%

DET -0.4%

DET -3.4%

ATL +7.7%

DET -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	14.8	14.7	15.4	116.3	106.2	104.1
season	15.1	15.7		102.6	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.8	13.2	15.3	15.1	14.8
DET	14.9	16.8	16.7	11.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-7	25	14.7	15.2	-0.43	15.4	12.8	2.56
DeShawn Stevenson	54	55	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	-4	19	14.6	15.1	-0.50	15.5	13.7	1.78
Al Horford	79	81	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.08	13	-2	15	15.4	12.6	2.74	14.8	14.2	0.61
Kyle Korver	65	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	-3	17	14.9	14.8	0.07	14.9	14.3	0.60
Devin Harris	26	25	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	4	3	15.8	14.5	1.37	16.0	14.3	1.70
Jeff Teague	66	67	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	2	7	14.9	14.6	0.31	14.8	14.5	0.29
Dahntay Jones	39	38	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	13	-15	14.9	14.8	0.19	14.2	15.0	-0.85
Ivan Johnson	11	10	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	2	7	12.6	15.1	-2.48	20.7	14.0	6.69
John Jenkins	38	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.30	-5	16	-21	15.0	14.7	0.27	13.7	15.3	-1.59
Anthony Tolliver	28	26	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.39	-13	24	-37	15.7	14.5	1.18	11.7	15.8	-4.11
Mike Scott	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	9.3	15.2	-5.86	7.2	15.1	-7.91
Johan Petro	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	9.3	15.2	-5.86	7.2	15.1	-7.91

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	34	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	-5	-1	16.0	14.0	2.05	15.3	14.6	0.66
Jonas Jerebko	49	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.28	4	-15	19	13.3	16.1	-2.74	15.1	14.6	0.49
Khris Middleton	46	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.34	6	-17	23	13.6	15.7	-2.04	15.4	14.3	1.05
Viacheslav Kravtsov	34	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-11	11	12.8	15.7	-2.98	14.9	14.8	0.09
Charlie Villanueva	14	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-2	-7	16.2	14.4	1.77	13.1	15.2	-2.09
Kyle Singler	62	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	-2	-7	14.6	14.8	-0.15	13.9	16.5	-2.63
Greg Monroe	63	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	0	-11	15.7	12.8	2.98	14.8	14.9	-0.09
Jose Calderon	65	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-1	-9	14.9	14.3	0.63	15.1	14.3	0.82
Kim English	46	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.29	-2	-9	7	14.5	14.9	-0.38	15.1	14.6	0.56
Rodney Stuckey	72	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	7	-25	15.4	12.8	2.62	14.9	14.7	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, DEN 63	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
PHI 106, LAC 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
UTA 106, VAN 68	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%