inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 106 Excitement4.2 [859] MVPClint Capela (ATL): +18.0%
Atlanta Hawks 121 Comeback2.9 [548] LVPTyrese Haliburton (SAC): -7.5%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richaun Holmes0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.04-0.00-0.011561%0.093-0.04367%0.00
De'Aaron Fox0.040,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.010.022455%0.103-0.051080%0.01
Marvin Bagley III0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.001060%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Harrison Barnes0.010,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.02-0.00-0.03952%0.033-0.023100%0.01
Nemanja Bjelica0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin James0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DaQuan Jeffries0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Guy0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jahmi'us Ramsey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.03844%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Buddy Hield-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.041631%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tyrese Haliburton-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.010.031040%-0.041-0.0300%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.120.060.001271%0.211-0.031040%-0.02
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.020.013100%0.0900.002100%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.030.051168%0.0800.0000%0.00
Trae Young0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.110.000.041768%0.134-0.05771%-0.01
Kevin Huerter0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.04-0.00-0.02757%0.0600.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.01-0.03956%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.012100%0.0400.0000%0.00
John Collins0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.000.02957%0.051-0.031080%0.02
Skylar Mays00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nathan Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Bruno Fernando00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Goodwin00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Solomon Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.100.00-0.051223%-0.0500.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.532.38.627.52.432.3129.1
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +47.5%
ATL +1.6%
SAC -5.2%
ATL +6.4%
SAC -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACATLNBASACATLNBA
this game16.014.514.4112.8127.4111.3
season14.014.7112.2112.8
opponent14.514.4111.4115.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC16.316.916.514.416.0
ATL13.713.115.515.614.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justin James120.00-0.500.500.000-151513.016.0-3.0418.514.44.11
DaQuan Jeffries120.00-0.500.500.000-151513.016.0-3.0418.514.44.11
Kyle Guy120.00-0.500.500.000-151513.016.0-3.0418.514.44.11
Jahmi'us Ramsey120.00-0.500.500.000-151513.016.0-3.0418.514.44.11
Richaun Holmes6967-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-131116.514.71.8115.013.21.74
Cory Joseph3436-0.19-0.310.13-0.01-6-9315.416.4-1.0314.314.6-0.27
Tyrese Haliburton5051-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.00-9-6-315.716.4-0.6613.016.2-3.27
De'Aaron Fox7979-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.13-5-10515.916.5-0.5414.613.61.02
Marvin Bagley III4749-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-12-3-915.616.4-0.7415.013.91.04
Harrison Barnes7978-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.14-7-8116.115.70.4114.514.40.08
Buddy Hield7371-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.05-150-1516.115.80.3215.013.02.03

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danilo Gallinari58570.58-0.080.66-0.1324-93314.314.7-0.3315.716.5-0.74
Solomon Hill42430.430.070.36-0.2122-72913.515.2-1.6616.615.51.09
Bogdan Bogdanovic44440.360.140.21-0.031321113.615.3-1.6916.315.70.62
Rajon Rondo30290.290.210.090.0687114.614.40.1815.916.1-0.16
Clint Capela52550.230.27-0.050.23015-1514.714.10.6116.315.60.76
Trae Young63640.210.29-0.090.0078-114.314.8-0.5616.115.80.31
Kevin Huerter49490.140.36-0.210.09213-1115.113.81.3415.816.3-0.49
Tony Snell54530.140.36-0.210.26-419-2314.714.10.6215.516.6-1.11
John Collins55550.130.37-0.23-0.0778-114.814.10.6916.215.70.46
Skylar Mays210.000.50-0.500.00015-1518.514.44.1113.016.0-3.04
Nathan Knight210.000.50-0.500.00015-1518.514.44.1113.016.0-3.04
Bruno Fernando210.000.50-0.500.00015-1518.514.44.1113.016.0-3.04
Brandon Goodwin210.000.50-0.500.00015-1518.514.44.1113.016.0-3.04
Onyeka Okongwu2017-0.010.51-0.530.10-419-2313.714.7-0.9215.716.1-0.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 101, BOS 1280.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
CLE 73, ORL 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
NYK 71, HOU 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.0%