NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	114		Excitement	7.9 [278]		MVP	T.J. McConnell (IND): +20.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Comeback	23.0 [129]		LVP	Dylan Windler (CLE): -25.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. McConnell	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.10	0.00	8	100%	0.24	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	65%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Justin Holiday	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.17,0.12,0.12	-0.08	0.19	-0.00	13	31%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.09	0.03	12	58%	0.13	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.04
Malcolm Brogdon	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09	0.17	0.00	0.07	15	88%	0.23	5	-0.14	3	67%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.02	9	63%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Edmond Sumner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.07	0.02	7	89%	0.21	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.02	9	84%	0.14	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.13	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.12,0.21,0.07,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	25	57%	0.26	6	-0.25	6	100%	0.08
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03,0	-0.00	0.13	-0.12	0.01	9	94%	0.16	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	7	71%	0.10	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	8	12%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.26	-0.26	-0.09	-0.13	0.04	4	30%	-0.08	3	-0.17	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	24.8	15.6	24.6	1.7	37.5	132.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +36.3%

CLE -14.4%

CLE -30.5%

IND +52.7%

IND +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	13.2	15.1	14.4	111.8	108.8	111.3
season	13.6	15.2		111.5	104.5
opponent	14.0	14.4		112.9	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.1	13.3	15.1	11.5	13.2
CLE	14.1	13.4	17.6	15.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Edmond Sumner	38	38	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.09	23	-20	43	11.4	14.2	-2.87	15.9	14.6	1.32
T.J. McConnell	81	82	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-11	25	12.5	15.8	-3.33	14.3	18.0	-3.71
Justin Holiday	80	81	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.56	-5	8	-13	12.9	14.0	-1.06	14.7	16.3	-1.59
Domantas Sabonis	83	82	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.55	-5	8	-13	12.8	14.6	-1.80	14.0	19.2	-5.20
Jeremy Lamb	42	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	1	1	12.1	13.9	-1.86	15.3	14.9	0.36
Myles Turner	55	55	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	5	-7	14.8	11.3	3.51	16.9	12.9	4.03
Malcolm Brogdon	75	75	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	11	-19	13.6	12.0	1.54	14.1	17.6	-3.48
Aaron Holiday	10	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	6	-9	15.4	12.9	2.48	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Doug McDermott	46	45	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	4	-5	14.8	11.8	2.94	17.3	13.3	4.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Garland	41	43	0.40	-0.90	1.30	-0.07	16	-19	35	14.3	15.6	-1.34	13.8	12.7	1.12
Taurean Prince	40	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.15	-8	5	-13	15.6	14.7	0.92	14.1	12.6	1.43
Jarrett Allen	64	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.52	12	-15	27	14.3	16.4	-2.11	13.3	12.9	0.35
Dean Wade	65	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.56	13	-16	29	14.5	16.0	-1.46	13.5	12.6	0.82
Cedi Osman	36	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.17	-16	13	-29	16.4	14.3	2.13	12.5	13.5	-0.99
Collin Sexton	91	92	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.55	8	-11	19	14.9	16.3	-1.35	13.3	12.0	1.29
JaVale McGee	38	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	12	-27	16.4	14.3	2.11	12.9	13.3	-0.35
Isaac Okoro	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-5	7	14.5	16.4	-1.89	13.1	13.4	-0.32
Dylan Windler	46	45	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	12	-27	14.7	15.4	-0.68	12.8	13.4	-0.58
Damyean Dotson	18	17	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	9	-21	18.8	14.3	4.50	10.3	13.7	-3.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.27,0.19,0.36,0.68,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 124, UTA 123	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.72,0.68,0.42,0	88.8%
ATL 91, WAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.22,0.02,0	88.4%
OKC 92, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.67,0.26,0	88.3%