NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	92		Excitement	8.2 [227]		MVP	Kevin Martin (OKC): +10.6%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	10.2 [232]		LVP	Brandon Knight (DET): -28.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	8	54%	0.11	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Kevin Durant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.08	0.02	0.08	0.02	22	48%	0.24	2	-0.15	10	100%	0.08
Thabo Sefolosha	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05	-0.07	0.11	-0.01	2	33%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.07
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Maynor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.1,-0.05,-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.01	25	51%	0.19	2	-0.23	15	73%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	9	52%	0.02	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	10	50%	0.08	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.04	13	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	12	41%	-0.09	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	6	23%	-0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	0.01	-0.19	0.01	14	53%	-0.01	2	-0.18	4	75%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.29	-0.29	-0.13	-0.17	-0.02	13	29%	-0.11	3	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.8	31.2	18.7	29.0	1.8	39.3	151.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +13.6%

OKC +56.7%

OKC +0.6%

DET -15.4%

DET -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	DET	NBA	OKC	DET	NBA
this game	14.0	18.1	15.4	101.1	101.1	104.1
season	14.8	15.7		109.3	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.8	14.0	18.9	9.7	14.0
DET	17.5	16.7	15.4	22.6	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	65	63	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.46	10	-8	18	13.3	15.7	-2.35	19.2	15.4	3.79
Kevin Martin	55	54	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.42	10	-8	18	12.9	15.7	-2.84	18.2	17.9	0.30
Russell Westbrook	81	80	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.37	9	-7	16	13.9	14.6	-0.70	18.6	13.2	5.39
Kevin Durant	81	79	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.40	8	-6	14	14.1	13.0	1.10	18.7	13.0	5.71
Serge Ibaka	70	70	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.50	-1	3	-4	14.0	13.9	0.16	19.0	14.7	4.23
Hasheem Thabeet	9	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	5	-8	13.0	14.1	-1.09	12.1	18.7	-6.53
Eric Maynor	16	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.03	-5	7	-12	13.9	14.0	-0.13	14.3	18.8	-4.57
Jeremy Lamb	7	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	7	-12	12.9	14.1	-1.21	13.6	18.5	-4.88
Kendrick Perkins	39	37	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.01	-6	8	-14	15.7	12.7	2.96	18.4	17.8	0.62
Nick Collison	32	32	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.03	-7	9	-16	15.6	13.1	2.49	14.6	20.0	-5.42

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	53	54	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.11	7	-9	16	17.7	18.7	-1.01	15.8	11.4	4.43
Will Bynum	35	35	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-4	6	15.3	19.9	-4.54	13.2	14.5	-1.31
Andre Drummond	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-2	2	18.8	17.8	1.07	12.6	14.5	-1.96
Kyle Singler	32	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	3	-8	17.5	18.4	-0.84	13.3	14.4	-1.07
Rodney Stuckey	75	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	2	-6	17.6	20.4	-2.72	13.9	14.5	-0.56
Greg Monroe	61	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	0	-2	18.0	18.3	-0.32	14.6	12.5	2.08
Jonas Jerebko	37	37	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	8	-18	18.9	17.4	1.50	11.8	15.5	-3.65
Tayshaun Prince	71	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.52	3	-5	8	18.8	15.3	3.43	14.5	12.1	2.40
Brandon Knight	56	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.51	-1	-1	0	19.4	15.9	3.48	14.0	14.0	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.67,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 88, TOR 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.59,0.53,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.27,0	89.7%
SEA 105, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.7,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.17,0	89.7%
CLE 91, VAN 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.52,0.33,0.02,0	89.5%