NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	114		Excitement	5.8 [586]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +17.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	1.3 [557]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (LAL): -9.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.16	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.05	-0.02	8	83%	0.18	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Mikal Bridges	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.05	0.05	10	79%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Cameron Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	5	90%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.08	0.01	17	52%	0.15	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Devin Booker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	12	65%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Deandre Ayton	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	14	55%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Abdel Nader	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.03	5	67%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	4	57%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	0.04	0.06	24	72%	0.23	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.01	6	100%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	9	80%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.05	-0.02	7	25%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.08
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	17	45%	-0.00	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	3.7	31.2	17.4	31.2	3.0	31.3	146.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +22.6%

PHX +10.2%

PHX +2.9%

PHX +5.7%

PHX +8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.4	14.4	122.6	111.8	111.3
season	14.7	14.6		115.3	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.7		106.7	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.0	15.9	16.5	17.0	15.5
LAL	16.4	14.8	15.6	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dario Saric	51	50	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-3	16	15.8	15.2	0.66	15.8	15.0	0.82
Devin Booker	47	48	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	-6	22	13.9	17.2	-3.39	15.9	15.0	0.94
Mikal Bridges	71	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	5	0	15.2	16.5	-1.33	15.0	16.6	-1.60
Cameron Johnson	39	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	5	0	16.4	14.9	1.57	16.0	15.0	1.02
Cameron Payne	19	18	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	5	0	18.6	14.7	3.84	15.8	15.4	0.42
Chris Paul	66	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	10	-10	15.0	16.8	-1.76	14.6	17.6	-3.02
Jae Crowder	70	70	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	12	-14	15.9	14.3	1.62	15.5	15.4	0.07
Abdel Nader	45	44	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	14	-18	16.5	14.6	1.82	14.6	16.2	-1.57
E'Twaun Moore	10	10	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	3	4	13.1	15.8	-2.72	19.1	15.0	4.10
Deandre Ayton	47	49	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	5	0	15.1	16.0	-0.85	15.7	15.1	0.58

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	20	20	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.08	8	-18	26	15.2	15.5	-0.31	15.8	15.4	0.41
Jared Dudley	21	22	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.18	9	-19	28	16.1	15.2	0.91	16.5	15.2	1.33
Damian Jones	14	13	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-11	12	13.7	15.7	-2.03	18.8	15.0	3.77
LeBron James	73	74	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-12	14	15.2	16.5	-1.35	15.2	16.7	-1.52
Talen Horton-Tucker	34	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-8	6	16.5	14.8	1.67	17.7	14.3	3.39
Alex Caruso	40	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-2	-6	15.4	15.5	-0.12	17.1	14.5	2.58
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	61	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	1	-12	15.7	15.0	0.72	14.6	17.5	-2.91
Montrezl Harrell	38	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	5	-20	16.0	15.1	0.90	13.3	17.0	-3.69
Dennis Schroder	76	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	1	-12	15.0	17.5	-2.56	15.1	17.4	-2.38
Markieff Morris	66	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.09	-16	6	-22	15.6	15.0	0.62	15.0	16.8	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, CLE 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.9%
BOS 109, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0	93.8%
IND 106, CHH 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.13,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.04,0.02,0,0,0	93.3%