inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 129 Excitement4.2 [858] MVPWayne Ellington (DET): +27.0%
Toronto Raptors 105 Comeback2.0 [209] LVPTerence Davis (TOR): -14.1%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wayne Ellington0.270,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.290.030.0511109%0.2700.001100%0.00
Rodney McGruder0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.000.001465%0.1300.00367%0.00
Saben Lee0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.11-0.000.061174%0.072-0.02580%-0.01
Sekou Doumbouya0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.02853%0.041-0.001100%0.00
Isaiah Stewart0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.010.01560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Deividas Sirvydis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.020.021171%0.084-0.0920%-0.02
Saddiq Bey-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.01939%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.001248%0.022-0.05540%-0.05
Dennis Smith Jr.-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00950%0.033-0.072100%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Norman Powell0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.240.000.042084%0.284-0.083100%0.01
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.130.000.031168%0.121-0.02989%0.03
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.010.03772%0.071-0.024100%0.02
Chris Boucher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.001158%0.063-0.04978%-0.01
Paul Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Matt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.070.000.10769%-0.0200.00250%0.00
DeAndre' Bembry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.0330%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Yuta Watanabe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.0030%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Terence Davis0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.14-0.02-0.031124%-0.073-0.08367%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.72.829.814.727.51.835.0138.1
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +42.6%
TOR -11.0%
DET +12.4%
DET +3.0%
DET +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETTORNBADETTORNBA
this game15.414.214.4133.0107.1111.3
season15.014.2107.0111.0
opponent14.614.2111.2111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.217.513.017.115.4
TOR14.012.014.716.314.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wayne Ellington53530.440.060.38-0.091861214.816.1-1.3815.213.02.19
Sekou Doumbouya56560.340.160.17-0.342312215.415.30.1513.515.0-1.46
Rodney McGruder53520.310.190.12-0.191771016.913.63.2813.514.9-1.41
Svi Mykhailiuk73760.310.190.11-0.081311215.116.3-1.2614.413.21.27
Saben Lee42410.280.220.06-0.101311215.215.5-0.2914.513.90.52
Isaiah Stewart40400.260.240.01-0.18159615.315.4-0.0514.414.00.48
Mason Plumlee57580.240.26-0.01-0.02915-615.415.30.0514.014.4-0.48
Dennis Smith Jr.55570.220.28-0.06-0.101113-215.515.20.2913.914.5-0.52
Saddiq Bey49510.110.39-0.270.17-226-2815.315.5-0.1913.814.6-0.79
Deividas Sirvydis760.000.50-0.50-0.09321-1812.315.6-3.3416.514.02.49

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Watson3738-0.00-0.500.490.11-4-201613.814.4-0.5215.815.10.76
Terence Davis4846-0.16-0.340.180.04-7-171013.315.0-1.6313.916.7-2.88
Yuta Watanabe2423-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-181215.013.91.0512.916.1-3.24
Aron Baynes5149-0.21-0.290.08-0.09-4-201613.914.4-0.4614.915.9-1.06
Stanley Johnson3634-0.27-0.23-0.030.03-10-14413.914.3-0.3516.814.62.22
Matt Thomas4343-0.31-0.19-0.130.27-20-4-1615.013.51.4115.915.00.94
Norman Powell7676-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-12-12014.313.80.4416.312.04.32
Kyle Lowry7373-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.04-10-14413.516.0-2.4115.116.2-1.10
Chris Boucher4850-0.35-0.15-0.200.35-240-2414.413.90.5015.715.00.66
DeAndre' Bembry5453-0.37-0.13-0.240.30-23-1-2215.013.21.7815.315.5-0.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 100, UTA 860.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%
CHI 98, DET 800.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%
MIL 112, WAS 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%