NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	99		Excitement	8.9 [152]		MVP	Luguentz Dort (OKC): +51.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	102		Comeback	4.8 [233]		LVP	Darius Bazley (OKC): -19.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dejounte Murray	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.08	0.02	20	61%	0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Keita Bates-Diop	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	5	75%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tre Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luka Samanic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.02	-0.07	0.05	-0.00	16	37%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Eubanks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.06	-0.02	7	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Patty Mills	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.13,-0.06	0.02	-0.08	0.00	12	62%	0.19	3	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	10	46%	-0.01	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.52	0.52	0.06	0.47	0.01	12	67%	0.57	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.34	0.34	0.29	0.06	0.01	20	82%	0.48	4	-0.14	11	91%	0.05
Al Horford	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.00	16	50%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	8	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	42%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Roby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.04	-0.05	5	50%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Theo Maledon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	5	30%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.17	-0.03	-0.00	8	0%	-0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	22.5	15.3	27.0	1.7	29.0	120.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +47.3%

OKC +5.4%

SAS -3.8%

OKC +1.4%

SAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	OKC	NBA	SAS	OKC	NBA
this game	14.0	14.7	14.4	97.1	103.0	111.3
season	14.6	14.2		109.8	102.4
opponent	14.0	14.2		112.7	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.0	14.1	15.1	12.7	14.0
OKC	15.3	15.3	13.6	14.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	54	54	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.04	9	-12	21	14.1	13.7	0.40	14.5	15.0	-0.46
Drew Eubanks	20	22	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.12	10	-13	23	12.0	14.4	-2.44	13.7	15.0	-1.26
Luka Samanic	38	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	1	-5	14.3	13.8	0.48	15.6	14.1	1.46
Dejounte Murray	68	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.42	8	-11	19	13.2	15.4	-2.18	15.1	13.9	1.14
Tre Jones	25	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	3	-9	15.1	13.6	1.54	13.9	15.0	-1.05
Trey Lyles	57	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	5	-13	13.6	14.4	-0.87	14.9	14.5	0.47
Patty Mills	59	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-2	1	14.4	13.3	1.14	14.2	15.3	-1.09
Keita Bates-Diop	46	43	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-2	1	12.8	14.9	-2.19	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Lonnie Walker IV	70	66	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.43	-7	4	-11	14.2	13.3	0.90	15.0	14.1	0.88
Jakob Poeltl	73	70	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.31	-15	12	-27	14.9	11.7	3.22	14.9	14.2	0.76

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	77	79	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.33	15	-12	27	15.0	13.8	1.20	14.5	12.2	2.25
Al Horford	58	61	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.46	10	-7	17	15.0	14.3	0.75	14.8	12.7	2.06
Darius Bazley	60	64	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.43	11	-8	19	15.0	14.2	0.83	14.2	13.5	0.78
Luguentz Dort	59	62	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.44	6	-3	9	15.2	14.0	1.19	15.0	12.3	2.69
Theo Maledon	69	74	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-4	11	14.9	14.2	0.73	14.0	13.8	0.19
Justin Jackson	32	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	5	-7	13.3	15.4	-2.06	12.5	14.6	-2.12
Hamidou Diallo	23	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	8	-13	15.5	14.5	1.06	12.9	14.3	-1.41
Kenrich Williams	40	40	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	9	-15	13.9	15.2	-1.27	13.2	14.5	-1.29
Mike Muscala	40	40	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.04	-11	14	-25	13.6	15.5	-1.86	12.5	14.9	-2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.25,0.17,0.27,0.53,0.47,0.61,0.53,0.93,0.87,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 93, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.44,0.34,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.69,0.84,0.94,0.85,1	90.9%
BOS 107, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.93,0.96,1	90.4%
NYK 87, MIL 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.73,1	90.3%