NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	87		Excitement	9.0 [79]		MVP	Marcus Camby (NYK): +14.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	88		Comeback	3.7 [157]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -26.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.00	6	73%	0.15	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Larry Johnson	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	8	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.09	0.09	-0.00	12	27%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1	0.03	-0.13	0.00	5	70%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.26	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26	-0.06	-0.21	-0.00	18	56%	-0.14	5	-0.13	7	57%	-0.14

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	10	54%	0.09	0	0.00	8	62%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.07	0.00	13	57%	0.16	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.13
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	18	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	12	29%	-0.14	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	27.5	15.4	24.6	2.4	33.8	130.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -25.7%

MIL +43.5%

MIL +15.7%

MIL +17.2%

NYK -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	16.9	17.0	15.8	102.4	103.5	99.6
season	16.0	15.8		97.0	102.4
opponent	16.4	16.6		100.9	95.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.8	17.9	16.1	19.4	16.9
MIL	15.2	19.0	17.4	16.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	56	53	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.03	2	-3	5	17.3	16.1	1.22	17.0	16.9	0.16
Chris Dudley	9	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-1	1	18.2	16.7	1.47	18.2	16.8	1.38
Patrick Ewing	71	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-3	5	16.9	16.7	0.23	16.5	19.1	-2.54
Kurt Thomas	28	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	8	-17	17.2	16.7	0.51	17.1	16.9	0.14
Marcus Camby	33	32	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	2	-5	16.5	17.1	-0.59	17.2	16.9	0.29
Chris Childs	55	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.52	5	-6	11	17.2	16.3	0.88	17.5	16.0	1.51
Larry Johnson	61	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.42	0	-1	1	16.8	17.2	-0.48	16.9	17.2	-0.27
Allan Houston	62	63	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.45	-7	6	-13	16.0	19.4	-3.41	16.6	18.0	-1.44

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	35	36	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.44	7	-6	13	16.7	17.2	-0.54	17.9	16.2	1.75
Vinny Del Negro	45	45	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-11	23	16.8	17.1	-0.28	16.1	17.8	-1.74
Tyrone Hill	61	60	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-7	15	16.4	18.5	-2.18	16.7	17.3	-0.59
Ray Allen	57	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.44	-2	3	-5	16.8	17.4	-0.57	16.3	18.2	-1.95
Terrell Brandon	44	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.52	-8	9	-17	17.5	16.4	1.13	17.4	16.3	1.05
Dell Curry	27	26	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	1	-1	16.8	17.1	-0.24	18.7	16.1	2.57
Glenn Robinson	64	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	-2	5	17.5	15.5	1.93	16.9	17.0	-0.06
Robert Traylor	14	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	2	-3	15.6	17.3	-1.68	17.2	16.9	0.30
Armen Gilliam	30	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	3	-5	17.2	16.9	0.29	18.6	16.1	2.59
Ervin Johnson	48	52	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.04	-12	13	-25	17.6	16.2	1.39	15.5	19.1	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 88, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.76,0.59,1	90.6%
MIA 86, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.86,0.72,0.91,0.87,1	90.5%
DEN 81, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.9,0.95,1	90.5%