NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	107		Excitement	9.1 [129]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +88.0%
Dallas Mavericks	110		Comeback	2.1 [381]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -20.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0.46	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.46	0.13	0.34	0.01	20	67%	0.59	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Semi Ojeleye	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	19	54%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Payton Pritchard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Nesmith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Theis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	4	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jayson Tatum	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.21	0.01	-0.18	0.03	23	54%	0.04	4	-0.25	6	83%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.88	0.88	0.11	0.77	-0.00	23	62%	0.96	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	12	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
James Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.21,-0.05	-0.05	0.16	-0.17	0.04	11	81%	0.23	2	-0.28	5	100%	0.04
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	17	39%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.8	25.5	16.2	26.6	2.8	42.9	144.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +23.9%

DAL +10.7%

DAL +7.1%

DAL +7.3%

DAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DAL	NBA	BOS	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.8	14.4	111.5	115.8	111.3
season	14.5	15.0		112.8	114.3
opponent	14.4	14.5		112.4	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.1	16.1	13.9	12.4	14.3
DAL	14.2	15.9	16.1	17.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Williams	13	14	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-8	13	13.5	14.5	-0.92	15.2	15.9	-0.72
Tristan Thompson	44	43	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.10	6	-9	15	14.5	14.2	0.31	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Kemba Walker	66	64	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.28	9	-12	21	14.1	14.8	-0.63	16.8	13.8	3.01
Aaron Nesmith	44	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.31	5	-8	13	14.0	14.6	-0.62	16.4	15.3	1.12
Daniel Theis	54	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-1	-1	13.5	15.4	-1.82	15.9	15.8	0.12
Robert Williams III	26	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	3	-9	16.0	13.7	2.29	16.3	15.6	0.71
Jaylen Brown	78	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-6	9	13.3	18.6	-5.26	15.7	16.2	-0.47
Payton Pritchard	37	40	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.15	-11	8	-19	15.8	13.4	2.32	14.5	16.8	-2.30
Jayson Tatum	71	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.40	-6	3	-9	14.3	14.4	-0.04	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Semi Ojeleye	47	46	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.11	-18	15	-33	15.5	13.2	2.31	15.3	16.4	-1.11

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Doncic	77	78	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.47	5	-2	7	15.4	17.7	-2.26	13.6	17.4	-3.83
Dorian Finney-Smith	54	54	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.47	1	2	-1	16.1	15.5	0.60	13.2	15.8	-2.54
James Johnson	54	54	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	-1	5	15.8	15.9	-0.04	15.5	12.9	2.58
Jalen Brunson	61	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	-3	9	15.8	15.9	-0.03	14.1	14.7	-0.53
Boban Marjanovic	27	27	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-10	23	13.7	16.7	-2.97	14.8	14.1	0.67
Tim Hardaway Jr.	46	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	-4	11	15.9	15.7	0.20	14.3	14.3	0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein	44	47	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	7	-11	17.0	14.8	2.22	14.7	14.0	0.68
Trey Burke	7	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	7	-11	16.6	15.8	0.80	14.0	14.4	-0.36
Josh Richardson	58	59	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.14	-9	12	-21	16.6	14.7	1.85	14.9	13.4	1.51
Dwight Powell	23	21	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	10	-17	16.3	15.7	0.68	13.6	14.5	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.59,0.85,0.83,0.97,0.99,0.85,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 111, SAS 122	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1	91.6%
NJN 101, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.98,1	91.4%
CHA 97, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.96,1	91.3%