NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	98		Excitement	8.2 [235]		MVP	Alec Burks (NYK): +63.0%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	19.1 [122]		LVP	Immanuel Quickley (NYK): -9.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jakob Poeltl	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	57%	0.15	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,0.07,0.13,0.04,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	18	60%	0.15	3	-0.13	9	78%	-0.01
Devin Vassell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	46%	0.00	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	18	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	13	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.63	0.63	0.18	0.44	-0.02	20	70%	0.67	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.06
RJ Barrett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,0,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	19	59%	0.18	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.22,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	21	48%	0.04	3	-0.10	10	100%	0.05
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	27.6	14.8	29.2	2.5	35.4	138.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +57.6%

NYK +4.0%

SAS -18.7%

NYK +10.5%

SAS -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NYK	NBA	SAS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	15.7	14.4	103.2	107.4	111.3
season	14.6	15.2		109.8	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.2		107.4	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.1	14.8	13.6	15.0	14.6
NYK	14.9	15.2	15.2	17.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keldon Johnson	56	59	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.26	9	-13	22	14.7	14.4	0.32	16.7	14.0	2.72
Lonnie Walker IV	57	57	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.43	13	-17	30	14.3	15.1	-0.84	16.1	15.2	0.93
Jakob Poeltl	68	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-4	4	14.3	15.4	-1.13	16.0	15.0	1.04
Drew Eubanks	24	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-3	2	17.0	13.8	3.16	15.4	15.8	-0.43
DeMar DeRozan	73	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-10	16	14.7	14.2	0.49	16.2	14.1	2.02
Dejounte Murray	71	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-1	-2	13.9	16.5	-2.60	16.0	14.9	1.08
Devin Vassell	29	27	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	4	-12	14.4	14.7	-0.32	14.6	16.2	-1.62
Rudy Gay	42	39	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.15	-14	10	-24	14.5	14.7	-0.22	14.0	16.9	-2.91
Patty Mills	55	55	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.12	-22	18	-40	15.1	13.9	1.17	14.8	16.9	-2.09

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	65	67	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-9	22	15.9	15.2	0.71	14.8	14.1	0.65
RJ Barrett	81	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-1	6	16.0	14.4	1.59	14.4	15.9	-1.53
Reggie Bullock	77	76	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-4	12	15.5	16.8	-1.38	14.9	13.6	1.28
Taj Gibson	42	42	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-9	22	15.4	16.0	-0.56	15.7	13.7	1.95
Julius Randle	88	88	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	3	-2	15.7	16.1	-0.46	14.6	14.0	0.65
Obi Toppin	7	7	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.01	3	1	2	16.1	15.7	0.46	14.0	14.6	-0.65
Frank Ntilikina	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	4	-4	14.4	15.9	-1.54	13.5	14.8	-1.32
Immanuel Quickley	23	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	4	-4	15.4	15.8	-0.43	14.1	14.8	-0.69
Nerlens Noel	52	51	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.22	-12	16	-28	16.2	15.1	1.05	14.2	15.0	-0.83
Elfrid Payton	27	25	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	15	-26	15.7	15.7	-0.02	14.0	14.8	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.46,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.21,0.34,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 103, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.85,1	91.6%
TOR 96, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.18,0.33,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.91,0.91,1	91.1%
DEN 83, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.25,0.29,0.35,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.19,0.25,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.93,0.98,1,1	90.7%