NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	96		Excitement	7.5 [343]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +37.6%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	12.1 [300]		LVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): -25.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.07	0.00	7	75%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Morris Peterson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	60%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jorge Garbajosa	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.09,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	11	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	6	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	3	67%	0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Chris Bosh	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.15,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.12	-0.04	14	42%	-0.10	4	-0.08	12	58%	-0.06
T.J. Ford	-0.25	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.25	-0.06	-0.19	-0.00	15	44%	-0.12	3	-0.13	6	67%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.33,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.27	0.14	0.04	16	83%	0.42	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.11	0.00	10	74%	0.26	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.05
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Roger Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.08,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	16	42%	-0.00	2	-0.08	8	75%	-0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	21%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.05	0.01	18	32%	-0.12	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.6	34.2	15.0	26.8	1.7	30.5	133.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +33.0%

TOR -1.3%

UTA +27.7%

TOR -9.5%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	UTA	NBA	TOR	UTA	NBA
this game	14.0	16.0	15.4	100.0	105.2	104.5
season	15.2	15.9		104.7	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.4		104.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.4	12.0	16.3	14.0	14.0
UTA	15.6	13.8	17.2	17.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	61	61	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.38	16	-21	37	13.2	15.5	-2.23	16.7	14.7	2.05
T.J. Ford	67	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.36	7	-12	19	14.1	14.0	0.11	17.1	13.4	3.70
Chris Bosh	65	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.36	7	-12	19	14.0	14.2	-0.27	16.7	14.3	2.36
Fred Jones	78	77	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-2	-1	13.9	14.7	-0.84	15.9	16.0	-0.05
Jorge Garbajosa	69	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.20	-1	-4	3	13.9	14.4	-0.56	16.1	15.5	0.63
Rasho Nesterovic	11	10	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	2	-9	16.3	13.8	2.52	18.0	15.7	2.28
Jose Calderon	29	29	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	7	-19	14.0	14.1	-0.11	13.4	17.1	-3.70
Morris Peterson	45	45	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	9	-23	14.6	13.6	0.97	14.3	17.4	-3.14
Andrea Bargnani	55	55	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.21	-18	13	-31	14.6	13.3	1.31	15.0	17.2	-2.16

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	54	53	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.31	25	-20	45	15.4	16.7	-1.34	14.8	13.1	1.76
Matt Harpring	53	54	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.48	11	-6	17	14.9	17.3	-2.43	13.0	15.3	-2.30
Mehmet Okur	81	80	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-2	9	16.8	11.6	5.17	14.4	12.3	2.08
Jarron Collins	27	26	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	-2	9	13.3	17.0	-3.70	13.4	14.3	-0.85
Derek Fisher	48	47	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	0	5	14.9	17.0	-2.12	13.7	14.4	-0.71
Deron Williams	72	74	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	9	-13	15.9	16.2	-0.28	13.3	16.6	-3.31
Dee Brown	6	5	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	7	-9	16.8	15.9	0.93	14.4	14.0	0.38
Roger Powell	10	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	7	-9	16.9	15.8	1.05	13.0	14.1	-1.15
Carlos Boozer	65	67	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.21	-10	15	-25	17.0	13.9	3.08	13.7	14.8	-1.13
Ronnie Brewer	38	38	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.14	-3	8	-11	16.7	15.5	1.20	16.0	12.8	3.20
CJ Miles	26	27	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.08	-9	14	-23	17.7	15.3	2.38	15.2	13.6	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.18,0.33,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.94,0.89,1,1	91.5%
MIN 92, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.25,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.79,0.98,0.99,1	91.4%
LAC 87, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.95,1,1	91.0%