inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 120 Excitement8.0 [261] MVPNikola Vucevic (ORL): +37.2%
Orlando Magic 124 Comeback25.8 [37] LVPMichael Carter-Williams (ORL): -17.0%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.220,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.220.060.13-0.032949%0.251-0.031100%0.00
Damion Lee0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.190.080.10-0.015100%0.231-0.0400%0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.0.100,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.11-0.02-0.001860%0.111-0.02743%-0.06
Brad Wanamaker0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01480%0.101-0.052100%0.01
Mychal Mulder0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.020.03671%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Eric Paschall0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.02-0.00542%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Juan Toscano-Anderson0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00658%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Kent Bazemore-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.010.00437%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Draymond Green-0.020,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.010.00560%0.053-0.0700%0.00
Andrew Wiggins-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11-0.03-0.070.011552%-0.014-0.101100%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.370.370.160.20-0.012362%0.3700.002100%0.05
Chuma Okeke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.34,0.34,0.340.340.080.25-0.01869%0.3400.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.260.260.110.150.001767%0.302-0.052100%0.01
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.17-0.060.041874%0.132-0.06250%-0.02
James Ennis III0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.060.060.030.02-0.01558%0.0600.00250%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00480%0.082-0.032100%0.01
Khem Birch0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01067%0.0100.00367%-0.00
Dwayne Bacon00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chasson Randle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01433%0.011-0.021100%0.01
Mo Bamba0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.020.00260%0.011-0.031100%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.18-0.02-0.031329%-0.055-0.122100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.62.027.214.725.62.031.0129.1
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +29.0%
ORL +16.4%
ORL +2.1%
ORL +4.0%
GSW -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWORLNBAGSWORLNBA
this game12.814.414.4114.3115.9111.3
season13.514.9109.9103.9
opponent14.014.5113.4108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.014.111.813.512.8
ORL13.314.715.913.714.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Paschall30320.33-0.831.17-0.0212-162813.012.70.3415.613.81.75
Brad Wanamaker26270.24-0.740.990.163-71014.212.31.8615.514.01.49
Mychal Mulder32320.17-0.670.84-0.037-111812.213.1-0.8714.414.30.10
Kent Bazemore29290.12-0.620.730.15-1-3214.812.02.7715.114.10.97
Juan Toscano-Anderson54560.05-0.550.60-0.105-91412.413.2-0.8614.714.00.77
Damion Lee4444-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.40-3-1-213.412.31.1014.414.4-0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.8183-0.670.17-0.85-0.53-51-612.214.6-2.3814.215.1-0.93
Andrew Wiggins7273-0.690.19-0.89-0.25-1511-2612.912.60.2213.915.4-1.49
Stephen Curry8284-0.720.22-0.95-0.52-73-1012.314.6-2.3314.115.3-1.20
Draymond Green7575-0.830.33-1.17-0.36-1612-2812.713.0-0.3413.815.6-1.75

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Evan Fournier72711.29-0.792.080.3831-275813.216.7-3.4112.912.60.30
Nikola Vucevic88871.07-0.571.640.3425-214613.916.7-2.8812.912.30.55
Michael Carter-Williams74750.89-0.391.270.2721-173813.516.2-2.6713.411.32.09
Chuma Okeke47460.64-0.140.780.418-41214.914.00.8713.911.91.92
James Ennis III35350.270.230.040.067-31013.214.9-1.7712.513.0-0.50
Terrence Ross72700.230.27-0.040.32-37-1014.913.21.7713.012.50.50
Khem Birch30300.170.33-0.15-0.037-31013.014.9-1.9413.112.70.48
Al-Farouq Aminu3029-0.320.82-1.130.01-1115-2615.014.10.8810.713.6-2.85
Chasson Randle3330-0.390.89-1.270.11-1721-3816.213.52.6711.313.4-2.09
Mo Bamba1918-0.571.07-1.640.04-2125-4616.713.92.8812.312.9-0.55
Dwayne Bacon3534-0.791.29-2.080.00-2731-5816.713.23.4112.612.9-0.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.68,0.58,0.6,0.4,0.46,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.29,0.14,0.24,0.54,0.66,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 92, PHX 980.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.78,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.38,0.45,0.78,0.96,190.1%
GSW 116, PHX 1220.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.15,0.22,0.39,0.55,0.77,0.91,189.1%
LAL 96, DEN 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.43,0.74,188.6%