inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 117 Excitement6.7 [443] MVPDevonte' Graham (CHA): +25.3%
Charlotte Hornets 112 Comeback1.2 [927] LVPLaMelo Ball (CHA): -19.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Porter Jr.0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.160.000.021883%0.275-0.1200%0.00
JaMychal Green0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.140.070.090.02579%0.191-0.054100%0.03
Aaron Gordon0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.020.011461%0.1000.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0.080,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.000.011661%0.142-0.061794%0.09
Austin Rivers0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00850%0.0300.00250%0.00
Monte Morris0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03550%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Vlatko Cancar-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.05-0.01-0.05646%0.053-0.0610%-0.01
Facundo Campazzo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.04-0.00944%0.053-0.0700%0.00
Markus Howard-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Shaquille Harrison-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00125%-0.011-0.03250%-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devonte' Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.25,0.27,0.250.250.220.120.081974%0.291-0.034100%0.03
Jalen McDaniels0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.010.02983%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Terry Rozier0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.090.090.040.03-0.021854%0.152-0.063100%0.02
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.050.050.08-0.010.02975%0.091-0.04250%-0.06
Caleb Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01450%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Malik Monk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.04-0.00662%0.073-0.121100%0.00
P.J. Washington0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.021634%-0.062-0.06683%0.00
LaMelo Ball0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.19-0.04-0.04923%-0.065-0.13475%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.527.415.429.31.837.2137.0
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +23.2%
DEN +5.9%
DEN +9.8%
DEN +3.1%
DEN +8.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENCHANBADENCHANBA
this game14.213.614.4114.7106.7111.3
season15.014.2116.0109.4
opponent14.714.4111.8112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.715.613.013.714.2
CHA12.613.813.115.113.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Porter Jr.75760.69-0.190.880.0223-184113.815.3-1.4714.012.61.47
Facundo Campazzo78810.57-0.070.640.1614-92314.314.00.2313.912.81.02
Austin Rivers65690.420.080.340.0712-71914.513.80.6813.414.1-0.71
Nikola Jokic68730.390.110.290.0412-71914.513.60.9413.314.4-1.09
Aaron Gordon59640.340.160.170.0111-61714.314.10.2113.513.8-0.30
Shaquille Harrison40410.160.34-0.180.33-611-1712.415.4-3.0313.913.50.38
JaMychal Green46450.110.39-0.280.38-914-2314.713.80.9114.113.30.78
Paul Millsap34320.110.39-0.290.31-712-1913.614.5-0.9414.413.31.09
Markus Howard780.040.46-0.410.0405-512.314.4-2.0712.413.7-1.35
Monte Morris2221-0.140.64-0.790.21-1217-2916.113.72.4512.413.9-1.55
Vlatko Cancar1615-0.190.69-0.870.20-1318-3115.813.91.8912.313.8-1.50

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cody Zeller63620.17-0.670.83-0.5123-285113.214.3-1.1514.813.21.59
Devonte' Graham71710.02-0.520.53-0.4817-223913.713.50.1313.815.2-1.45
Caleb Martin1414-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-1-310.914.0-3.1915.913.91.99
LaMelo Ball7368-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.22-1-4313.214.6-1.3614.014.6-0.56
Malik Monk3840-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.16-4-1-314.912.92.0413.015.0-2.04
Jalen McDaniels5553-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.33-4-1-314.312.91.4513.814.7-0.88
Terry Rozier8884-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.15-127-1913.414.7-1.3014.711.92.83
Bismack Biyombo3734-0.500.00-0.500.20-2419-4313.913.50.4214.114.3-0.19
P.J. Washington8684-0.610.11-0.72-0.14-1611-2713.812.81.0114.413.31.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.08,0.41,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 102, CHA 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.49,0.4,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.01,091.3%
GSW 114, LAC 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.36,0.43,0.16,091.3%
HOU 92, LAC 830.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.01,091.1%