NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	5.4 [580]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +14.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	95		Comeback	1.1 [503]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (CHA): -23.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.06	0.03	20	62%	0.22	4	-0.07	18	83%	0.04
Kevin Garnett	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.01	20	52%	0.12	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Brandon Bass	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	9	58%	0.11	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.05
Avery Bradley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	52%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	7	32%	-0.04	3	-0.11	8	62%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.00	6	80%	0.16	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.07
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.01	-0.05	18	47%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	-0.02	0.08	14	64%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	28%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	8	30%	-0.06	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	-0.09	0.01	5	15%	-0.15	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.5	33.4	15.4	35.2	1.8	36.3	151.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +24.9%

BOS +16.5%

CHA -0.4%

BOS +10.5%

CHA -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.8	16.8	15.6	110.9	105.6	102.8
season	15.5	16.3		99.4	94.1
opponent	15.0	16.2		108.9	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	17.1	11.2	18.0	14.8
CHA	16.7	18.9	16.5	15.4	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	79	75	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.10	21	-14	35	14.6	16.5	-1.97	16.1	20.5	-4.37
Paul Pierce	74	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.08	18	-11	29	15.1	13.9	1.12	16.0	19.8	-3.76
Brandon Bass	76	74	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-4	15	15.4	12.0	3.45	16.6	17.9	-1.36
Greg Stiemsma	37	37	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	-6	19	14.6	15.0	-0.42	17.1	16.6	0.49
Avery Bradley	77	77	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	6	-5	14.3	17.8	-3.53	17.2	14.7	2.49
Kevin Garnett	64	62	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.43	-10	17	-27	14.9	14.8	0.04	16.6	17.2	-0.62
Keyon Dooling	29	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.24	-8	15	-23	16.8	14.0	2.84	17.8	16.4	1.40
Ryan Hollins	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	7	-7	10.3	15.2	-4.83	19.6	16.6	2.98
Sasha Pavlovic	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	12	-17	16.4	14.6	1.80	21.3	16.1	5.21
Marquis Daniels	6	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.08	-6	13	-19	9.0	15.3	-6.26	17.1	16.8	0.35

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Williams	32	33	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.23	15	-22	37	17.8	16.3	1.59	16.8	13.8	2.98
DJ White	47	48	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.42	20	-27	47	16.8	16.8	0.02	16.9	12.6	4.33
Byron Mullens	59	61	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.27	11	-18	29	17.0	16.5	0.57	15.3	13.9	1.38
Derrick Brown	57	58	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-12	17	17.7	15.3	2.35	14.6	15.3	-0.71
Kemba Walker	43	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.36	10	-17	27	17.5	16.2	1.23	15.8	14.0	1.86
Corey Maggette	33	34	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.13	-12	5	-17	15.3	17.7	-2.35	15.3	14.6	0.71
Gerald Henderson	64	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	9	-25	16.2	18.4	-2.20	14.1	16.7	-2.57
Bismack Biyombo	31	31	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.03	-18	11	-29	16.5	17.0	-0.57	13.9	15.3	-1.38
D.J. Augustin	41	42	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.06	-23	16	-39	16.3	17.2	-0.88	13.5	16.0	-2.48
Tyrus Thomas	43	44	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	0.13	-27	20	-47	16.8	16.8	-0.02	12.6	16.9	-4.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.49,0.4,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
DET 105, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0	93.5%
SEA 91, TOR 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.32,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0	93.4%