NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	114		Excitement	8.5 [190]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (GSW): +35.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	110		Comeback	1.1 [295]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -8.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.36	0.11	0.26	0.01	8	73%	0.36	0	0.00	6	100%	0.13
Carl Landry	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.10	-0.01	16	64%	0.24	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06
Harrison Barnes	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	6	71%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.02,0.04	-0.03	0.08	0.01	16	55%	0.20	5	-0.16	10	90%	0.00
David Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	17	46%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Festus Ezeli	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	10	40%	-0.10
Draymond Green	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.27,0.27,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.12	0.00	17	63%	0.29	1	-0.04	9	78%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.08	-0.00	10	95%	0.31	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.18,0.09,0.21,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.02	9	71%	0.39	5	-0.25	20	95%	0.09
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	12	47%	-0.03	2	-0.06	16	69%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.7	40.2	15.4	34.1	1.6	42.2	164.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +8.6%

LAC -2.7%

GSW +27.6%

GSW +15.7%

GSW +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	14.3	14.2	15.4	112.9	108.9	104.1
season	14.6	15.6		104.6	109.0
opponent	15.7	15.3		102.8	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	13.5	16.0	13.9	14.3
LAC	17.1	11.8	14.7	13.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	91	92	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-2	8	13.6	20.5	-6.85	14.3	13.2	1.06
Richard Jefferson	49	48	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-5	14	14.2	14.4	-0.24	13.7	14.6	-0.95
David Lee	59	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	1	2	14.6	14.0	0.56	15.4	12.5	2.97
Harrison Barnes	40	40	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	1	2	13.8	14.7	-0.83	15.4	13.4	2.09
Jarrett Jack	69	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	7	-10	14.7	13.6	1.03	13.3	15.8	-2.47
Carl Landry	68	66	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.26	0	4	-4	15.2	12.6	2.60	13.6	15.4	-1.81
Festus Ezeli	60	60	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	-1	6	13.7	15.2	-1.46	14.2	14.2	-0.01
Klay Thompson	55	57	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	2	0	15.3	13.2	2.04	15.0	13.1	1.86
Draymond Green	12	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	4	-4	14.6	14.3	0.29	13.5	14.3	-0.78
Charles Jenkins	1	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	6	-8	2.0	14.4	-12.45	1.0	14.5	-13.45
Andris Biedrins	1	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	7	-10	2.0	14.4	-12.45	7.0	14.4	-7.41

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	45	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-2	0	15.4	13.2	2.27	14.6	14.1	0.45
Jamal Crawford	69	69	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.55	14	-18	32	12.9	17.0	-4.07	14.5	14.0	0.43
Lamar Odom	21	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	0	-4	13.6	14.3	-0.72	14.7	14.2	0.45
Chris Paul	69	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-6	8	14.6	13.3	1.33	14.3	14.3	0.07
Ryan Hollins	38	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	2	-8	12.8	15.0	-2.16	14.8	14.0	0.78
Blake Griffin	80	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-7	10	14.3	13.6	0.72	14.2	14.7	-0.45
Caron Butler	66	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-2	0	14.9	12.8	2.17	14.0	14.9	-0.94
Willie Green	32	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	9	-22	17.0	12.9	4.07	14.2	14.4	-0.24
Eric Bledsoe	32	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	7	-18	13.3	14.6	-1.33	14.2	14.4	-0.26
Matt Barnes	53	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-3	2	13.2	15.3	-2.18	14.2	14.5	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.36,0.43,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, ATL 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.33,0.28,0	92.9%
CHI 87, GSW 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.26,0.32,0.08,0	92.8%
BOS 93, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.24,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.22,0.27,0	91.8%