NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	134		Excitement	3.5 [983]		MVP	Joe Harris (BKN): +11.8%
Golden State Warriors	117		Comeback	1.2 [859]		LVP	Kevin Durant (BKN): -8.9%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	9	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	6	93%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.05	12	67%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tyler Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.13	0.00	0.09	17	66%	0.03	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Landry Shamet	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.02	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	11	79%	0.06	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	0.00	0.03	19	48%	-0.01	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	-0.01	0.08	17	69%	0.07	4	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	6	79%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	43%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	15	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Mychal Mulder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Eric Paschall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.12	10	73%	-0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.3	27.6	15.4	24.5	3.5	25.6	128.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +35.1%

BKN +6.4%

BKN +9.3%

GSW -1.3%

BKN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	GSW	NBA	BKN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	13.0	14.4	125.2	110.4	111.3
season	14.1	13.5		116.6	109.9
opponent	14.5	14.6		108.8	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	12.9	13.4	14.8	15.0	14.0
GSW	11.9	13.7	12.9	13.8	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	79	76	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.26	28	-11	39	13.8	14.5	-0.64	13.3	12.4	0.95
Kevin Durant	74	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.23	22	-5	27	13.4	15.4	-1.99	13.2	12.7	0.43
Kyrie Irving	75	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.30	22	-5	27	13.7	14.6	-0.86	12.9	13.3	-0.40
Joe Harris	61	61	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	5	7	12.9	15.4	-2.53	13.9	11.9	2.01
Jeff Green	65	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	7	3	13.6	14.6	-1.07	13.0	13.2	-0.20
Bruce Brown	48	48	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	13	-9	14.4	13.7	0.66	13.0	13.1	-0.05
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	53	53	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	12	-7	14.1	13.9	0.17	12.4	13.7	-1.26
Tyler Johnson	31	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.32	-8	25	-33	16.4	13.0	3.37	13.1	13.0	0.12
Landry Shamet	42	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.25	-6	23	-29	15.7	12.9	2.80	12.2	13.6	-1.31
Noah Vonleh	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	14.6	13.9	0.62	12.5	13.1	-0.58

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.39	12	-29	41	14.0	12.5	1.48	14.1	13.9	0.14
Eric Paschall	38	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.26	7	-24	31	14.0	12.5	1.53	14.1	13.9	0.14
Brad Wanamaker	32	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-23	29	14.7	12.4	2.30	14.2	13.9	0.24
Mychal Mulder	29	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	-9	1	11.0	13.8	-2.77	14.5	13.8	0.79
Damion Lee	45	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-16	15	12.7	13.3	-0.55	14.4	13.7	0.74
Juan Toscano-Anderson	55	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-3	-11	13.1	12.9	0.20	14.0	14.0	0.02
Kelly Oubre Jr.	71	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.29	-22	5	-27	12.5	14.2	-1.72	13.9	14.2	-0.35
Andrew Wiggins	74	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	-4	-9	13.8	11.4	2.35	14.0	13.9	0.16
Draymond Green	74	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.34	-26	9	-35	12.7	13.9	-1.28	13.7	14.7	-1.02
Stephen Curry	76	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.32	-26	9	-35	12.5	14.4	-1.89	13.7	14.7	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 116, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
VAN 101, DAL 74	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
POR 110, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%