NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	119		Excitement	7.8 [295]		MVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): +33.8%
Orlando Magic	123		Comeback	1.7 [432]		LVP	Garrett Temple (CHI): -19.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,-0.03,0.05,-0.02,0.1,0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	21	53%	0.14	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.11
Patrick Williams	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	-0.02	0.01	11	71%	0.15	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Denzel Valentine	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	12	58%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.02	9	68%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	10	68%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Gafford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	17	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Hutchison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	10	23%	-0.16	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.25	0.11	0.02	29	67%	0.36	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.13	-0.02	13	62%	0.27	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
James Ennis III	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.05	-0.00	5	78%	0.18	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	47%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	47%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Chuma Okeke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	5	70%	0.09	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0	0.00	0.04	-0.04	-0.01	10	68%	0.18	4	-0.18	5	60%	-0.01
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	26.7	14.0	28.5	1.8	39.5	137.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +65.5%

CHI -5.4%

ORL +11.8%

CHI -23.2%

ORL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.0	14.5	14.4	117.8	121.8	111.3
season	14.5	14.9		109.9	103.9
opponent	14.0	14.3		113.4	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.3	15.2	12.9	13.0	14.0
ORL	16.7	13.6	14.3	13.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tomas Satoransky	44	45	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.25	19	-23	42	13.2	14.7	-1.51	15.2	13.9	1.25
Chandler Hutchison	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-5	6	8.2	14.6	-6.45	14.8	14.5	0.33
Denzel Valentine	47	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-5	6	12.7	15.1	-2.37	14.3	14.7	-0.35
Thaddeus Young	69	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.45	10	-14	24	14.2	13.7	0.47	14.2	15.1	-0.87
Garrett Temple	66	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.50	8	-12	20	14.0	14.0	-0.03	14.0	15.5	-1.50
Zach LaVine	75	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-2	0	14.3	13.2	1.15	14.6	14.3	0.32
Lauri Markkanen	35	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	12	-28	14.8	13.6	1.17	14.0	14.8	-0.74
Daniel Gafford	21	22	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	14	-32	13.7	14.1	-0.37	15.5	14.2	1.33
Patrick Williams	66	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	4	-12	15.2	11.7	3.47	15.1	13.3	1.83
Coby White	72	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.20	-15	11	-26	14.3	13.2	1.13	14.2	15.3	-1.13

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Anthony	67	68	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.15	16	-12	28	14.5	14.5	-0.04	14.5	13.0	1.55
James Ennis III	50	50	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-11	26	13.7	15.3	-1.67	14.3	13.7	0.57
Nikola Vucevic	78	79	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-6	16	14.4	15.0	-0.64	14.6	12.0	2.57
Evan Fournier	60	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	-3	10	14.5	14.5	0.03	14.4	13.5	0.88
Terrence Ross	65	66	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.40	-2	6	-8	14.1	15.2	-1.16	13.8	14.5	-0.68
Gary Clark	33	33	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	-5	14	15.8	13.9	1.91	14.6	13.7	0.89
Khem Birch	38	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	5	-6	15.2	14.1	1.17	13.7	14.2	-0.52
Dwayne Bacon	42	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.25	-5	9	-14	14.3	14.6	-0.33	13.5	14.4	-0.88
Frank Mason	34	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.23	-12	16	-28	14.5	14.5	0.04	13.0	14.5	-1.55
Chuma Okeke	38	37	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.21	-17	21	-38	15.0	14.2	0.75	12.6	14.8	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.57,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 95, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.78,0.78,0.83,1	91.5%
WAS 101, CHH 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.61,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.92,0.92,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.66,0.41,1	90.9%
SEA 92, NYK 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.99,1	90.9%