NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	95		Excitement	6.8 [473]		MVP	Andre Miller (POR): +20.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	1.2 [1007]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -26.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Carney	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.03	6	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	14	52%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.07	0.00	6	69%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Acie Law	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
David Lee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	52%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	14	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Monta Ellis	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.26	-0.06	-0.20	0.00	20	53%	-0.06	7	-0.20	9	78%	0.05

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.12	0.01	12	61%	0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	58%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Armon Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	13	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	27%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.00	12	52%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	10	61%	0.01	4	-0.10	8	62%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	1.8	29.0	15.6	25.4	2.8	34.1	137.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +36.7%

GSW -9.6%

POR +8.6%

POR +16.4%

GSW -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	16.3	15.5	104.4	105.5	105.7
season	14.8	16.5		106.6	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.6	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.9	17.8	14.3	14.6	15.4
POR	16.4	14.1	15.7	18.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	36	35	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.10	6	-7	13	14.7	15.8	-1.07	16.6	16.0	0.56
Dan Gadzuric	20	20	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-3	5	16.0	15.2	0.84	14.8	16.6	-1.80
Vladimir Radmanovic	42	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.44	11	-12	23	15.1	15.7	-0.60	16.7	15.8	0.95
Acie Law	33	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	2	-5	16.8	14.6	2.28	16.2	16.3	-0.04
Lou Amundson	30	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	7	-15	15.4	15.4	0.01	16.4	16.2	0.19
Reggie Williams	72	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-1	1	15.5	15.2	0.30	16.5	15.2	1.38
David Lee	81	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.46	-2	1	-3	15.3	15.8	-0.45	16.8	12.5	4.32
Monta Ellis	69	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	3	-7	14.8	17.2	-2.36	16.1	16.9	-0.85
Dorell Wright	72	73	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.45	-7	6	-13	15.6	14.6	0.97	15.5	19.4	-3.98

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	53	54	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	-9	19	15.8	16.8	-1.01	15.1	15.9	-0.84
LaMarcus Aldridge	78	79	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.45	1	0	1	16.5	14.9	1.55	14.9	18.5	-3.58
Wesley Matthews	86	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	2	-3	16.3	15.2	1.11	14.8	24.0	-9.21
Dante Cunningham	73	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	-1	3	16.4	15.7	0.66	15.7	14.1	1.67
Rudy Fernandez	72	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	3	-5	16.6	15.0	1.58	15.8	13.9	1.83
Luke Babbitt	20	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	-2	5	15.9	16.3	-0.39	17.0	14.9	2.09
Armon Johnson	4	4	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	-1	3	10.5	16.5	-6.02	13.0	15.5	-2.51
Sean Marks	31	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	2	-3	15.4	16.7	-1.31	15.8	15.2	0.65
Patty Mills	38	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.19	-9	10	-19	16.8	15.8	1.01	15.9	15.1	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.78,0.78,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.85,1	95.0%
LAL 99, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.95,1	93.6%
ORL 91, DET 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%