NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	102		Excitement	6.5 [490]		MVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): +16.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Comeback	1.3 [356]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -35.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.09	0.02	20	64%	0.20	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Yao Ming	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Eddie Griffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Juaquin Hawkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.05,0,0,-0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.05	19	60%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
James Posey	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	-0.00	6	31%	-0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.09
Steve Francis	-0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.36	-0.12	-0.23	-0.00	13	50%	-0.01	6	-0.34	6	100%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	9	80%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	7	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	71%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	45%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	12	32%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	17	50%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.02
Ricky Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.03	21	44%	0.00	6	-0.15	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	26.0	15.8	26.1	1.7	37.1	132.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -2.0%

CLE +17.4%

HOU -0.4%

CLE +33.8%

CLE +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.5	105.2	109.4	101.6
season	16.3	15.1		101.7	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.4		104.3	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.4	16.0	15.1	14.3	14.9
CLE	15.6	16.0	13.7	14.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	23	22	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-9	15	15.3	14.8	0.47	16.2	14.5	1.73
Kelvin Cato	37	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-7	11	14.8	15.0	-0.27	15.1	14.8	0.34
Juaquin Hawkins	8	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-1	-1	16.6	14.8	1.83	12.7	15.1	-2.34
Terence Morris	32	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-4	5	15.8	14.5	1.34	15.3	14.7	0.59
Eddie Griffin	27	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	6	-15	17.4	14.0	3.41	15.4	14.7	0.71
Maurice Taylor	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.46	6	-9	15	14.0	17.4	-3.41	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Cuttino Mobley	79	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-5	7	14.5	16.7	-2.18	14.8	15.2	-0.33
James Posey	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	1	-5	14.5	15.8	-1.34	14.7	15.3	-0.59
Yao Ming	60	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	4	-11	15.0	14.8	0.27	14.8	15.1	-0.34
Steve Francis	84	84	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.29	-12	9	-21	15.1	14.2	0.92	14.8	15.5	-0.69

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	86	87	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	-1	5	14.7	16.7	-2.01	15.1	14.0	1.06
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	58	57	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	-6	15	15.5	14.0	1.53	15.6	14.0	1.66
Milt Palacio	60	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	-3	9	15.1	14.6	0.46	14.0	16.5	-2.53
Jumaine Jones	43	45	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	-1	5	14.5	15.2	-0.78	14.5	15.3	-0.82
Darius Miles	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	1	1	14.9	14.9	-0.01	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Chris Mihm	27	27	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	-6	15	14.8	14.9	-0.16	16.7	14.3	2.43
Dajuan Wagner	46	47	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	7	-11	15.1	14.7	0.33	16.0	14.0	2.00
Michael Stewart	14	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	4	-5	12.4	15.3	-2.89	13.1	15.3	-2.19
DeSagana Diop	27	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	9	-15	14.3	15.1	-0.89	13.2	15.7	-2.48
Carlos Boozer	63	63	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.12	-8	11	-19	15.5	13.7	1.78	15.2	14.4	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 95, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.78,0.78,0.83,1	95.0%
WAS 107, TOR 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.85,0.85,0.98,1,1	94.6%
ORL 91, DET 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%