NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	5.8 [647]		MVP	Marcus Camby (NYK): +17.6%
New York Knicks	101		Comeback	1.9 [760]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (SEA): -17.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	11	67%	0.16	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Jelani McCoy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	-0.04	20	45%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Desmond Mason	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.05	-0.01	10	52%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	7	39%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	13	36%	-0.10	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.02
Patrick Ewing	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.05	0.05	14	43%	-0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	13	75%	0.19	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.03	14	61%	0.16	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	15	55%	0.11	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.03	16	75%	0.19	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	7	56%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.3	30.5	19.8	25.2	2.8	31.0	137.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +77.1%

SEA -8.1%

SEA -12.3%

SEA -10.9%

NYK +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NYK	NBA	SEA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	16.3	15.5	103.4	114.8	100.9
season	15.2	16.4		103.8	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.7		96.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.5	15.5	17.4	16.7	16.3
NYK	16.5	16.5	14.5	17.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jelani McCoy	23	24	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.10	9	-18	27	15.6	16.5	-0.88	17.7	15.8	1.90
Vin Baker	58	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-5	1	15.9	17.0	-1.09	16.1	16.6	-0.49
Rashard Lewis	56	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-6	3	16.6	15.7	0.89	15.9	17.0	-1.06
Shammond Williams	59	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-2	-5	15.9	17.0	-1.07	15.6	17.7	-2.05
Ruben Patterson	52	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-6	3	17.0	15.2	1.78	17.3	14.9	2.40
Desmond Mason	54	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	16.2	16.3	-0.04	17.0	15.2	1.80
Gary Payton	82	81	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	2	-13	16.1	17.7	-1.58	16.0	19.7	-3.73
Patrick Ewing	61	61	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.09	-21	12	-33	16.5	15.8	0.64	15.8	17.3	-1.51

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	72	73	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.11	20	-11	31	16.1	16.9	-0.80	16.3	15.9	0.39
Latrell Sprewell	79	78	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.24	14	-5	19	16.1	17.7	-1.54	16.3	16.3	-0.02
Mark Jackson	66	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-2	13	16.3	16.1	0.26	16.6	15.3	1.25
Marcus Camby	73	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.14	9	0	9	15.8	18.4	-2.55	16.3	16.1	0.24
Glen Rice	50	51	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	8	-7	16.8	15.6	1.15	16.4	16.1	0.27
Kurt Thomas	54	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	6	-3	16.9	15.2	1.71	16.3	16.2	0.13
Larry Johnson	29	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	9	-9	15.5	16.7	-1.20	15.6	16.6	-0.94
Charlie Ward	17	17	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.17	-13	22	-35	17.1	16.1	0.96	15.2	16.5	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 101, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.99,1	93.0%
MIL 107, NYK 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.86,0.71,0.94,0.99,1	92.8%
CLE 89, TOR 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.9,1,1	92.7%