NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	101		Excitement	6.5 [541]		MVP	Garrett Temple (WAS): +25.5%
Washington Wizards	109		Comeback	1.5 [582]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -16.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Zeller	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	9	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jeremy Lin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	13	56%	0.08	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.07	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	14	32%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.15,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	18	44%	-0.07	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.10	0.02	9	84%	0.33	1	-0.07	7	71%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.02	0.04	10	86%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	71%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kelly Oubre	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	41%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	16	50%	0.11	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
John Wall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	0.00	21	56%	0.16	8	-0.20	6	83%	-0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	24.8	14.8	25.6	1.7	31.7	122.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +48.6%

WAS +16.8%

CHA -18.5%

WAS +4.9%

CHA -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	15.8	13.0	14.9	101.0	109.0	105.1
season	15.1	13.8		105.5	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.8		104.6	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.7	16.8	15.2	14.6	15.8
WAS	11.6	12.5	14.2	13.6	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	25	24	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-11	14	15.6	15.9	-0.25	13.6	12.8	0.86
Spencer Hawes	35	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.21	6	-14	20	16.6	15.4	1.18	14.4	12.2	2.19
PJ Hairston	40	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	2	-12	16.9	15.1	1.78	12.2	13.5	-1.33
Frank Kaminsky	38	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-5	2	16.7	15.3	1.38	13.9	12.4	1.52
Tyler Hansbrough	8	8	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	0	-8	17.4	15.7	1.68	8.9	13.3	-4.45
Cody Zeller	57	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-2	-4	15.1	16.7	-1.60	12.6	13.4	-0.74
Marvin Williams	72	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-5	2	15.3	17.2	-1.87	12.7	13.7	-0.92
Nicolas Batum	65	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	-1	-6	15.5	16.4	-0.88	12.9	13.2	-0.32
Kemba Walker	85	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-2	-4	15.9	15.6	0.27	12.8	14.0	-1.21
Jeremy Lin	75	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.30	-6	-2	-4	15.6	16.5	-0.87	13.3	12.2	1.10

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	79	80	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.11	16	-8	24	12.8	13.6	-0.76	15.9	15.4	0.48
Garrett Temple	75	76	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-4	16	12.3	15.0	-2.65	15.5	16.8	-1.27
John Wall	88	88	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	0	8	12.8	14.3	-1.55	15.7	17.0	-1.33
Jared Dudley	87	87	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	4	0	12.7	14.6	-1.89	15.7	16.7	-0.99
Ramon Sessions	47	46	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	7	-6	13.9	12.2	1.70	16.0	15.7	0.31
Gary Neal	45	44	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	-1	10	13.4	12.6	0.86	16.6	15.2	1.36
Kris Humphries	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.18	-4	12	-16	14.5	12.3	2.20	16.2	15.6	0.57
Kelly Oubre	47	47	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	14	-20	12.7	13.2	-0.47	15.6	16.1	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 101, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	93.2%
PHX 96, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.77,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.82,1	93.2%
NJN 97, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.84,0.98,1	93.1%