NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	96		Excitement	7.2 [378]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +13.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	1.6 [650]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -24.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13	0.16	-0.00	0.02	18	72%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Majerle	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	9	50%	0.06	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	11	29%	-0.12	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.17,-0.24	-0.14	-0.10	0.00	15	39%	-0.13	3	-0.11	6	33%	-0.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	55%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	22	56%	0.20	5	-0.15	6	50%	-0.06
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	13	52%	0.06	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	8	59%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.02
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	16	38%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	7	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	26.5	16.8	24.4	2.4	38.5	136.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +12.9%

CLE +7.4%

CLE +19.2%

CLE +8.7%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CLE	NBA	PHX	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	15.6	101.1	107.4	102.3
season	15.1	15.8		101.0	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		106.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.3	15.8	15.5	13.5	14.7
CLE	15.7	14.9	19.7	13.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alton Ford	27	27	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.12	10	-15	25	14.6	14.7	-0.16	15.9	15.7	0.21
Milt Palacio	9	8	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-8	11	18.1	14.3	3.76	16.9	15.7	1.20
Shawn Marion	76	74	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	-3	1	14.0	17.6	-3.59	15.3	17.4	-2.06
Bo Outlaw	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	3	-11	15.5	14.2	1.23	18.8	14.0	4.77
Dan Majerle	54	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-5	5	14.5	15.0	-0.52	14.5	17.5	-3.04
Anfernee Hardaway	46	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-1	-3	15.9	13.6	2.38	15.4	16.1	-0.77
Joe Johnson	71	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	14.3	16.0	-1.68	15.9	15.4	0.54
Stephon Marbury	86	86	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.36	-8	3	-11	14.3	18.1	-3.76	15.7	16.9	-1.20
Jake Tsakalidis	70	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	7	-19	14.9	14.1	0.85	15.8	15.7	0.13

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	79	79	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.31	11	-6	17	15.9	14.9	1.08	14.7	14.6	0.17
Tyrone Hill	58	59	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	-8	21	15.2	16.7	-1.49	13.8	16.2	-2.49
Andre Miller	65	64	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	-1	7	14.7	18.1	-3.41	14.5	15.1	-0.53
Ricky Davis	72	72	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	7	-9	15.4	17.0	-1.60	14.6	14.9	-0.27
Michael Doleac	20	21	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	-1	7	19.7	14.7	4.98	15.5	14.5	1.05
Trajan Langdon	23	26	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	-1	7	14.9	16.1	-1.20	14.8	14.7	0.09
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	55	55	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.26	-5	10	-15	15.0	16.8	-1.78	15.3	13.9	1.35
Brian Skinner	9	8	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	5	-5	18.7	15.5	3.20	16.2	14.6	1.69
Lamond Murray	63	63	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	4	-3	17.1	13.1	4.00	15.0	14.2	0.73
Chris Mihm	11	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	10	-15	16.0	15.7	0.25	14.2	14.8	-0.62
Jumaine Jones	15	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	11	-17	14.9	15.9	-1.08	14.6	14.7	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.77,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 101, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.99,1	93.2%
BKN 91, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.72,1	92.5%
NJN 97, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.84,0.98,1	92.5%