NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	146		Excitement	9.9 [63]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (WAS): +95.7%
Washington Wizards	149		Comeback	177.6 [8]		LVP	Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot (BKN): -16.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.40	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.35,0.4,0.4	0.17	0.21	-0.02	19	73%	0.52	5	-0.12	13	100%	0.15
Joe Harris	0.35	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.35	0.27	0.09	0.01	17	88%	0.43	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.17	0.11	-0.03	10	88%	0.33	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.27	0.04	0.21	-0.02	20	58%	0.36	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Bruce Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Landry Shamet	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Reggie Perry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.17	0.03	-0.20	0.00	6	62%	-0.16	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.96	0.96	0.18	0.79	0.01	28	65%	1.02	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.03
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.31	0.31	0.22	0.13	0.03	23	67%	0.36	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.06
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.05	0.00	8	81%	0.20	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	9	72%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	9	37%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.04	-0.04	13	41%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Isaac Bonga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.8	29.1	14.5	25.5	1.0	42.6	140.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +25.6%

BKN -1.6%

WAS +3.1%

WAS +25.6%

BKN -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	WAS	NBA	BKN	WAS	NBA
this game	12.9	12.5	14.4	128.1	131.9	111.3
season	14.1	13.3		116.6	109.9
opponent	14.1	14.6		112.4	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	12.6	12.1	13.3	13.7	12.9
WAS	13.6	12.3	13.4	10.7	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	43	43	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.12	14	-17	31	13.0	12.8	0.15	13.8	11.7	2.13
Landry Shamet	49	48	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.31	-7	4	-11	13.1	12.7	0.38	12.2	12.7	-0.49
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	44	42	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-7	11	11.5	13.8	-2.32	11.7	12.9	-1.16
Tyler Johnson	15	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	3	-9	13.5	12.8	0.73	12.7	12.4	0.30
Reggie Perry	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.18	-11	8	-19	11.9	13.1	-1.20	11.7	12.6	-0.89
Bruce Brown	73	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-6	9	13.3	12.2	1.03	13.0	11.4	1.62
Kevin Durant	89	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.62	6	-9	15	12.9	12.8	0.18	12.5	12.2	0.28
Kyrie Irving	90	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.53	3	-6	9	12.9	12.9	0.04	12.3	13.0	-0.61
Joe Harris	74	74	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.63	-2	-1	-1	13.1	12.4	0.70	12.8	11.9	0.87
Jeff Green	75	73	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.27	-19	16	-35	13.0	12.7	0.28	11.6	14.0	-2.37

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	60	60	1.24	-0.74	1.97	0.53	24	-21	45	11.4	13.6	-2.21	12.7	13.1	-0.32
Russell Westbrook	82	84	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-4	11	12.1	13.5	-1.40	12.7	13.6	-0.95
Rui Hachimura	68	68	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.63	-2	5	-7	12.6	12.3	0.26	12.9	13.0	-0.13
Bradley Beal	88	87	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.68	-12	15	-27	12.8	11.4	1.42	12.9	12.8	0.12
Garrison Mathews	61	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	-5	13	12.2	12.8	-0.66	12.5	13.4	-0.81
Isaac Bonga	1	1	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	1	1	0.0	12.6	-12.58	0.0	13.0	-13.02
Moritz Wagner	47	49	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.35	11	-8	19	12.3	12.6	-0.22	13.4	12.5	0.85
Alex Len	10	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	7	-11	14.7	12.3	2.45	12.0	13.0	-0.99
Deni Avdija	35	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.16	-9	12	-21	13.7	11.9	1.72	14.6	12.1	2.49
Robin Lopez	41	40	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.12	-13	16	-29	13.7	11.8	1.94	13.0	12.8	0.19
Davis Bertans	72	72	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.38	3	0	3	12.2	12.9	-0.72	12.7	13.2	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, OKC 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.2,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,1	90.6%
LAC 98, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.28,1	90.0%
MIN 107, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.41,1	89.7%