NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	119		Excitement	6.1 [533]		MVP	Furkan Korkmaz (PHI): +26.1%
Indiana Pacers	110		Comeback	81.0 [24]		LVP	T.J. McConnell (IND): -19.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Furkan Korkmaz	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.27,0.26	0.08	0.19	0.01	12	65%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.19,0.19	0.04	0.15	0.00	7	53%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Ben Simmons	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	12	70%	0.12	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Tobias Harris	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.04	19	63%	0.17	3	-0.14	5	100%	0.02
Tyrese Maxey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.08	0.02	6	46%	0.05	2	-0.04	12	42%	-0.12
Shake Milton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	47%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	11	71%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	6	50%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.03	-0.03	21	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.02	-0.02	6	86%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	7	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	17	54%	0.06	6	-0.12	5	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.18,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	9	45%	-0.07	6	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	28.4	14.7	28.3	2.3	36.5	138.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +27.0%

PHI +5.3%

PHI +11.5%

PHI +6.8%

IND -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	14.4	14.4	117.8	108.9	111.3
season	14.5	13.6		112.6	111.5
opponent	14.4	14.2		111.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.1	13.0	14.1	14.5	14.1
IND	14.9	13.7	14.1	14.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	53	50	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.23	23	-14	37	14.2	14.1	0.11	14.6	14.2	0.44
Furkan Korkmaz	48	48	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.14	26	-17	43	14.2	14.0	0.25	14.4	14.4	0.08
Matisse Thybulle	54	55	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.32	14	-5	19	14.0	14.3	-0.30	14.2	14.6	-0.43
Tobias Harris	64	66	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-1	11	13.3	15.6	-2.33	14.4	14.3	0.13
Ben Simmons	74	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	5	-1	13.7	15.4	-1.71	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Tyrese Maxey	39	38	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.19	4	5	-1	14.5	13.9	0.68	14.2	14.5	-0.26
Shake Milton	41	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	10	-11	15.0	13.5	1.57	14.0	14.7	-0.68
Danny Green	46	46	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.06	-6	15	-21	14.3	14.0	0.34	14.7	14.1	0.59
Seth Curry	54	56	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.09	-9	18	-27	13.7	14.6	-0.93	13.6	15.4	-1.81
Tony Bradley	34	36	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.06	-16	25	-41	14.7	13.8	0.88	15.1	14.0	1.02

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Holiday	36	36	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.17	-2	-7	5	13.7	14.8	-1.13	14.8	13.7	1.11
Doug McDermott	42	45	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.20	-4	-5	1	14.0	14.7	-0.72	14.4	13.9	0.51
Goga Bitadze	13	14	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.05	-1	-8	7	13.3	14.6	-1.25	12.1	14.4	-2.29
Edmond Sumner	1	0	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-7	5	2.0	14.5	-12.52	0.0	14.1	-14.12
Jeremy Lamb	65	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	14.6	14.0	0.57	14.1	14.2	-0.15
T.J. McConnell	56	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	3	-15	13.4	15.6	-2.21	14.3	13.9	0.34
Malcolm Brogdon	78	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-5	1	14.8	13.1	1.64	13.8	15.3	-1.53
Domantas Sabonis	77	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.39	-5	-4	-1	14.6	13.7	0.96	14.0	14.5	-0.50
Justin Holiday	78	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	-4	-1	14.5	14.1	0.34	13.8	15.2	-1.43
Myles Turner	59	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	-4	-1	15.4	13.0	2.43	14.9	13.0	1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.91,0.91,0.75,0.64,0.32,0.07,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.83,0.69,0.55,0.22,0.16,0	93.0%
DAL 89, SEA 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.65,0.33,0.15,0	92.2%
PHI 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.69,0.54,0.32,0.42,0	91.7%