NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	89		Excitement	4.9 [808]		MVP	Khalid Reeves (DAL): +17.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	81		Comeback	76.5 [6]		LVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): -17.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khalid Reeves	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.18	-0.03	0.21	0.00	12	53%	0.21	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.13
Kevin Ollie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bubba Wells	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	9	55%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.01
Dennis Scott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.04	0.00	13	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	14	71%	0.05
Hubert Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	10	50%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Samaki Walker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	4	20%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	14	55%	0.02	5	-0.11	3	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	13	58%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	13	40%	-0.01	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.12,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.12	0.02	10	52%	0.01	3	-0.18	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.8	27.1	15.8	30.1	1.7	33.0	136.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -9.7%

DAL +45.9%

DAL +15.6%

DAL +1.9%

SEA -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	NBA	DAL	SEA	NBA
this game	16.7	16.2	15.6	102.3	92.0	102.5
season	15.8	15.3		98.3	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.5		102.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.1	16.0	20.9	15.1	16.7
SEA	14.9	16.7	15.1	18.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	26	25	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-2	12	16.8	16.6	0.20	15.5	16.6	-1.08
Hubert Davis	60	62	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-2	12	17.7	14.3	3.49	16.6	15.3	1.28
A.C. Green	70	69	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	0	8	17.0	15.3	1.71	15.7	18.3	-2.57
Michael Finley	78	82	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	0	8	17.1	13.0	4.09	16.3	16.2	0.09
Khalid Reeves	54	53	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	7	-6	17.8	14.8	3.03	16.8	15.4	1.36
Bubba Wells	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	0.0	16.7	-16.67	3.0	16.4	-13.40
Kevin Ollie	48	48	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.24	8	0	8	14.3	19.6	-5.34	16.1	16.4	-0.37
Dennis Scott	31	29	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.15	0	8	-8	14.6	17.8	-3.24	16.2	16.3	-0.06
Shawn Bradley	68	71	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.11	-5	13	-18	16.6	17.1	-0.49	16.6	14.6	1.99

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	43	43	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.20	2	-10	12	15.1	17.4	-2.26	14.8	18.5	-3.62
Dale Ellis	44	42	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.22	1	-9	10	16.6	15.9	0.68	14.8	18.4	-3.54
Greg Anthony	30	30	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.12	4	-12	16	17.1	15.8	1.24	14.8	17.6	-2.80
Jim McIlvaine	19	18	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.11	-2	-6	4	14.3	16.8	-2.47	15.7	16.9	-1.26
Vin Baker	62	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.49	-1	-7	6	15.7	17.6	-1.94	17.3	15.0	2.34
Gary Payton	70	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.38	-7	-1	-6	15.9	17.7	-1.78	16.8	16.1	0.76
Detlef Schrempf	61	59	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.39	-11	3	-14	16.9	14.9	1.96	17.3	15.4	1.83
Jerome Kersey	48	48	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.41	-11	3	-14	18.0	14.1	3.94	18.4	14.6	3.81
Hersey Hawkins	63	63	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.32	-15	7	-22	16.0	16.8	-0.82	17.6	14.2	3.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.65,0.33,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.83,0.69,0.55,0.22,0.16,0	92.2%
NJN 102, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.75,0.64,0.57,0.42,0	90.7%
PHI 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.69,0.54,0.32,0.42,0	90.1%