NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	8.2 [223]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +14.9%
Boston Celtics	95		Comeback	4.0 [337]		LVP	Kemba Walker (BOS): -52.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.00	10	80%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	8	69%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	57%	0.08	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
LeBron James	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03	-0.02	0.02	0.03	17	54%	0.15	5	-0.18	5	60%	-0.03
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Davis	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.01	25	47%	-0.03	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	18	71%	0.36	4	-0.21	6	67%	-0.00
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.00	5	100%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.02	0.01	19	70%	0.19	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.09
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.12	0.00	11	58%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	7	29%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.27,-0.26,-0.53	-0.53	-0.15	-0.37	0.00	12	15%	-0.45	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.5	24.5	14.8	25.3	3.3	32.8	128.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +31.7%

LAL +5.6%

BOS -13.4%

LAL +17.8%

LAL +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.1	14.7	14.4	103.2	101.1	111.3
season	14.6	14.5		108.6	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.5		111.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	14.7	16.5	17.5	16.1
BOS	14.2	15.9	13.5	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	36	39	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.43	14	-13	27	15.2	16.8	-1.59	15.8	13.8	2.01
LeBron James	67	70	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.44	11	-10	21	16.8	14.4	2.44	15.2	13.0	2.19
Montrezl Harrell	58	59	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.50	0	1	-1	16.2	16.1	0.09	14.6	14.7	-0.12
Dennis Schroder	66	65	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.53	-5	6	-11	16.6	15.1	1.45	14.0	16.2	-2.27
Anthony Davis	71	70	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.45	-10	11	-21	16.5	14.9	1.67	13.9	16.9	-2.96
Marc Gasol	35	35	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	0	1	16.1	16.2	-0.09	14.7	14.6	0.12
Kyle Kuzma	47	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	0	1	15.0	17.3	-2.26	14.9	14.5	0.40
Talen Horton-Tucker	46	47	-0.07	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	4	-7	15.4	16.9	-1.44	14.9	14.4	0.49
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	39	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	5	-9	16.6	15.8	0.86	14.5	14.8	-0.33

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	30	31	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-3	5	15.3	14.4	0.97	15.5	16.5	-0.98
Jaylen Brown	75	75	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.44	13	-14	27	13.8	18.0	-4.17	16.8	13.4	3.34
Aaron Nesmith	16	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	4	-9	17.0	14.2	2.81	14.4	16.5	-2.13
Robert Williams III	35	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	0	-1	14.7	14.7	0.02	15.4	16.6	-1.17
Marcus Smart	53	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	4	-9	14.8	14.5	0.24	15.1	17.5	-2.37
Daniel Theis	68	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.47	8	-9	17	14.1	16.3	-2.21	16.4	15.2	1.20
Tristan Thompson	29	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	4	-9	16.1	14.0	2.12	16.0	16.2	-0.20
Semi Ojeleye	32	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	3	-7	15.0	14.5	0.50	16.4	16.0	0.35
Jayson Tatum	77	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.54	0	-1	1	14.8	13.9	0.96	16.4	14.9	1.48
Kemba Walker	55	53	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	7	-15	14.2	15.3	-1.09	16.8	15.3	1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.15,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.1%
LAL 98, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.43,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.21,0.16,0.02,0	92.1%
IND 97, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	91.8%