NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	7.4 [346]		MVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): +47.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	1.8 [458]		LVP	Seth Curry (PHI): -8.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.11	-0.00	3	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	-0.00	0.04	22	62%	0.17	3	-0.08	11	73%	-0.00
Anthony Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	18	50%	0.12	2	-0.06	10	50%	-0.03
Dennis Schroder	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	14	55%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.05	7	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.48	0.48	0.08	0.39	-0.00	16	67%	0.58	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.03	-0.06	18	57%	0.05	5	-0.01	13	85%	0.02
Ben Simmons	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	8	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04	-0.04	0.09	-0.09	0.04	11	64%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.2	3.6	29.7	14.7	31.5	3.3	39.4	156.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +26.4%

LAL -8.8%

PHI +20.0%

PHI +2.8%

PHI +9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHI	NBA	LAL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	14.4	110.4	111.5	111.3
season	14.6	14.5		108.6	112.6
opponent	14.2	14.5		106.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.1	13.1	16.9	14.2	15.1
PHI	12.1	16.2	12.6	19.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Talen Horton-Tucker	14	14	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-5	9	14.3	15.3	-0.97	16.9	14.5	2.31
Markieff Morris	27	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-4	7	15.2	15.1	0.10	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Alex Caruso	30	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.35	8	-9	17	13.7	15.7	-2.01	18.5	13.3	5.15
Wesley Matthews	38	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-1	1	15.7	14.8	0.90	14.9	14.9	0.06
Montrezl Harrell	27	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	5	-11	16.0	14.8	1.23	14.6	15.0	-0.37
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	57	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-2	3	14.7	15.7	-1.02	14.7	15.1	-0.37
Marc Gasol	51	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	8	-17	15.1	15.1	0.01	13.8	16.0	-2.22
Kyle Kuzma	32	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	4	-9	16.1	14.6	1.42	13.2	15.7	-2.50
LeBron James	76	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-4	7	15.2	14.7	0.52	15.1	13.8	1.30
Dennis Schroder	59	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-1	1	15.0	15.3	-0.30	14.4	15.7	-1.28
Anthony Davis	69	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.34	-4	3	-7	15.1	15.2	-0.10	15.0	14.7	0.30

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	59	62	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.51	3	-2	5	15.1	14.6	0.43	15.0	15.3	-0.28
Danny Green	72	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	-7	15	14.9	14.8	0.13	15.2	14.9	0.27
Joel Embiid	75	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-7	15	14.9	14.8	0.16	15.2	14.8	0.33
Tobias Harris	73	75	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.46	-3	4	-7	15.0	14.6	0.42	14.7	16.6	-1.86
Shake Milton	43	42	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	-4	9	13.7	15.8	-2.11	15.2	15.0	0.22
Furkan Korkmaz	22	20	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	-3	7	14.7	14.9	-0.21	16.5	14.7	1.81
Ben Simmons	78	78	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.42	-11	12	-23	15.4	12.8	2.59	14.6	17.2	-2.53
Dwight Howard	15	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.20	-6	7	-13	14.7	14.9	-0.26	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Tyrese Maxey	11	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	5	-9	17.3	14.6	2.70	14.4	15.2	-0.85
Matisse Thybulle	32	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.12	1	0	1	14.0	15.3	-1.38	16.6	14.5	2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.76,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, PHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.55,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%
MIN 83, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.9%
DEN 90, CHI 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.9,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%