NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	99		Excitement	6.6 [459]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +21.9%
Atlanta Hawks	108		Comeback	2.0 [669]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (LAC): -13.3%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	5	72%	0.17	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Lou Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.08	0.08	-0.02	14	37%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Amir Coffey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	13	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.07	-0.02	0.05	16	59%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Terance Mann	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	9	45%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Serge Ibaka	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	15	47%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	7	36%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.08	0.05	23	67%	0.30	3	-0.08	11	100%	0.06
Kevin Huerter	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.14	0.00	10	65%	0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.04	0.03	16	58%	0.13	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	11	46%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Skylar Mays	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	54%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	0.3	26.8	14.8	29.3	2.4	31.6	130.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +58.6%

LAC -0.7%

LAC -4.6%

LAC -8.8%

ATL +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ATL	NBA	LAC	ATL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.2	14.4	101.0	109.1	111.3
season	14.9	14.7		116.6	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.7		111.4	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.1	14.4	15.7	13.0	14.1
ATL	16.2	13.8	13.1	17.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Coffey	26	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-5	1	14.5	13.9	0.57	15.0	15.2	-0.15
Serge Ibaka	62	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-6	3	13.2	15.6	-2.37	15.1	15.2	-0.15
Lou Williams	43	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-6	3	15.4	13.1	2.30	15.4	15.0	0.39
Reggie Jackson	83	84	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-7	5	13.1	19.3	-6.20	15.2	15.1	0.10
Luke Kennard	58	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-5	1	13.4	15.1	-1.68	15.1	15.2	-0.08
Marcus Morris Sr.	47	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-4	-1	15.6	12.7	2.83	15.6	14.7	0.85
Nicolas Batum	69	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-3	-3	13.8	14.8	-1.01	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Ivica Zubac	34	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-2	-5	15.5	13.3	2.22	15.5	15.0	0.56
Terance Mann	68	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	2	-13	14.2	13.8	0.41	15.1	15.2	-0.13

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	75	74	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	-2	13	15.0	15.6	-0.62	14.2	13.7	0.55
De'Andre Hunter	75	76	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	0	9	14.8	16.1	-1.28	14.1	13.9	0.22
Clint Capela	72	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	7	-5	15.7	13.8	1.89	13.3	16.1	-2.85
Kevin Huerter	74	73	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	5	-1	15.2	14.9	0.36	13.8	14.9	-1.07
John Collins	72	73	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	5	-1	15.6	14.0	1.63	13.9	14.6	-0.70
Brandon Goodwin	31	30	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	3	3	15.5	15.0	0.58	15.2	13.6	1.56
Danilo Gallinari	27	27	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	3	3	14.9	15.2	-0.36	16.9	13.0	3.87
Solomon Hill	50	48	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	7	-5	14.8	15.5	-0.75	13.4	14.7	-1.26
Tony Snell	6	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	7	-5	12.3	15.3	-3.00	14.4	14.1	0.34
Rajon Rondo	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	9	-9	15.2	15.1	0.11	14.3	14.0	0.29
Skylar Mays	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	10	-11	3.0	15.3	-12.28	7.0	14.2	-7.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 99, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.48,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.75,0.75,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	93.7%
DEN 87, VAN 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.6%
ORL 100, SAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.39,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.68,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.86,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.6%