inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 130 Excitement11.0 [30] MVPDeandre Ayton (PHX): +61.6%
Phoenix Suns 126 Comeback7.2 [142] LVPChris Paul (PHX): -38.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0.250,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.140.120.011273%0.2500.002100%0.01
Monte Morris0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.090.08-0.001071%0.201-0.024100%0.02
Nikola Jokic0.140,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,-0.05,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.07-0.012756%0.293-0.1510%-0.04
Paul Millsap0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.010.00767%0.0800.004100%0.02
Will Barton0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.18,0.080.080.020.021065%0.221-0.146100%0.06
PJ Dozier0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.02-0.00560%0.0500.0000%0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.01750%0.0200.0000%0.00
Facundo Campazzo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.00625%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.21,-0.15,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.24,-0.24,-0.1-0.08-0.09-0.061945%0.074-0.182100%0.04

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Deandre Ayton0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.38,0.62,0.620.620.240.390.021387%0.6200.005100%0.07
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.030.00580%0.1000.0000%0.00
Abdel Nader0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.040.00764%0.121-0.0500%0.00
Jevon Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01-0.04350%0.0500.0000%0.00
Devin Booker0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.10-0.06-0.022165%0.305-0.256100%0.07
Mikal Bridges0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.16,0.04,0.030.030.19-0.150.011575%0.0300.002100%0.01
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01750%0.042-0.062100%0.02
Cameron Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.01736%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Cameron Payne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19-0.19-0.08-0.11-0.0010%-0.013-0.1700%0.00
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.15,0.02,-0.03,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.38-0.38-0.12-0.260.001537%-0.064-0.3200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.43.322.614.828.23.332.32.414.6143.8
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.72.315.8135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +15.2%
PHX -17.9%
DEN +3.9%
DEN +38.9%
DEN +9.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPHXNBADENPHXNBA
this game14.215.114.4119.3116.7111.3
season15.014.7116.0115.3
opponent14.714.4109.6112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN15.913.712.814.214.714.2
PHX14.814.517.214.613.815.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Monte Morris65670.71-0.210.920.2117-133014.413.90.5014.815.7-0.93
Jamal Murray86850.61-0.110.730.388-41213.616.3-2.6915.414.01.49
Gary Harris79780.330.170.160.36-15-613.914.8-0.9015.514.21.24
Michael Porter Jr.41400.300.200.090.039-51414.014.3-0.3314.715.4-0.64
PJ Dozier31290.240.26-0.020.1822014.014.3-0.3014.015.6-1.59
Will Barton68680.200.30-0.090.35-59-1414.314.00.3315.414.70.64
JaMychal Green40400.180.32-0.130.016-2814.114.2-0.0514.815.3-0.44
Facundo Campazzo15140.090.41-0.32-0.127-31015.314.01.2614.115.3-1.13
Nikola Jokic79790.080.42-0.350.46-1317-3014.712.72.0515.115.2-0.06
Paul Millsap4140-0.240.74-0.990.05-1014-2414.214.10.1015.914.71.18

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jae Crowder42420.32-0.821.140.0310-142413.816.0-2.2014.014.3-0.22
Devin Booker80800.31-0.811.110.0110-142415.414.21.2414.613.11.52
Jevon Carter1413-0.02-0.480.460.13-51-615.115.10.0214.114.2-0.12
Abdel Nader3739-0.23-0.270.04-0.09-51-614.715.4-0.6514.514.00.47
Frank Kaminsky3333-0.23-0.270.030.00-84-1215.215.10.0813.614.4-0.87
Deandre Ayton7576-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.384-81215.115.2-0.0814.413.60.87
Cameron Payne3436-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.330-4414.115.6-1.4813.414.6-1.19
Mikal Bridges8484-0.510.01-0.52-0.42-3-1-215.015.5-0.5314.114.4-0.33
Chris Paul7979-0.730.23-0.95-0.46-95-1415.414.50.8814.214.3-0.11
Cameron Johnson6263-0.810.31-1.12-0.40-1410-2416.313.62.7314.214.20.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.76,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.86,0.58,0.46,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 130, DAL 1260.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.84,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.39,0.75,0.79,0.94,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.08,089.7%
BKN 107, DAL 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.48,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.75,0.72,0.86,0.85,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.09,0.01,089.4%
DAL 94, MEM 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.16,0.07,0.02,089.2%