NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	8.5 [195]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +54.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	89		Comeback	33.2 [28]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -23.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.54	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.34,0.34,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54	0.17	0.38	0.01	25	61%	0.57	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
Adrian Griffin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	22	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.02
Devin Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.03	12	38%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.22,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	13	53%	0.10	3	-0.19	4	75%	-0.02
Marquis Daniels	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	8	53%	0.12	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	6	62%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	7	50%	0.11	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.04
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	16	59%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	11	48%	0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	7	43%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.26,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	17	40%	-0.07	4	-0.16	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.1	3.7	36.7	19.8	28.2	3.5	36.4	2.4	22.1	181.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +55.0%

MEM -22.0%

DAL +30.4%

MEM -18.6%

DAL +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	17.5	17.2	15.6	101.1	98.9	104.4
season	16.4	17.1		109.0	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		100.0	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	18.2	17.3	15.5	20.2	16.0	17.5
MEM	17.0	14.0	21.9	17.7	15.6	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	56	56	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.62	12	-7	19	18.3	16.4	1.99	17.7	16.4	1.27
Jason Terry	77	74	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.29	15	-10	25	18.3	14.1	4.21	18.2	12.7	5.49
Erick Dampier	51	49	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-3	11	17.8	17.3	0.48	16.4	18.2	-1.83
Jerry Stackhouse	63	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-3	11	17.0	18.7	-1.65	16.3	18.8	-2.46
Dirk Nowitzki	84	81	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	1	3	17.5	18.1	-0.62	17.7	12.9	4.79
Marquis Daniels	28	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	7	-9	14.5	18.8	-4.31	14.4	18.4	-4.04
DeSagana Diop	40	39	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	9	-13	18.0	17.2	0.79	18.8	16.0	2.77
Devin Harris	16	16	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.06	-10	15	-25	14.1	18.3	-4.21	12.7	18.2	-5.49
Adrian Griffin	51	52	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.21	-6	11	-17	18.2	16.8	1.39	17.7	16.6	1.12

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	10	11	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-9	13	18.6	17.0	1.57	20.5	17.2	3.30
Eddie Jones	70	71	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-5	5	18.4	13.1	5.21	17.5	17.7	-0.17
Dahntay Jones	13	11	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-5	5	10.1	18.4	-8.33	16.5	17.7	-1.14
Bobby Jackson	31	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-3	1	16.2	17.7	-1.49	16.1	18.4	-2.26
Hakim Warrick	27	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	0	-5	15.0	18.1	-3.09	13.8	19.1	-5.31
Mike Miller	31	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	0	-5	15.2	18.2	-3.01	15.9	18.5	-2.63
Pau Gasol	64	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-8	11	18.0	15.3	2.72	18.5	14.9	3.65
Lorenzen Wright	65	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	4	-13	18.3	14.2	4.10	18.0	16.4	1.62
Chucky Atkins	60	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.41	-3	-2	-1	17.4	16.8	0.65	18.1	16.6	1.46
Shane Battier	70	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.41	-3	-2	-1	17.6	15.9	1.61	18.6	13.9	4.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.16,0.07,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 114, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.73,0.59,0.47,0.6,0.76,0.55,0.69,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.16,0.15,0.04,0	91.0%
MIN 106, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.31,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.96,0.5,0.47,0.37,0.09,0.15,0	90.5%
SAC 106, NYK 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.32,0.22,0.05,0.04,0	89.7%