inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 130 Excitement10.9 [35] MVPJa Morant (MEM): +49.2%
Portland Trail Blazers 128 Comeback2.4 [306] LVPDamian Lillard (POR): -34.5%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ja Morant0.490,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.49,0.490.220.280.011772%0.4900.001283%-0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.310.150.170.021472%0.331-0.03475%-0.04
Dillon Brooks0.230,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.17,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.24,0.240.110.12-0.011966%0.292-0.0500%0.00
De'Anthony Melton0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.090.060.03-0.00762%0.0900.002100%0.03
Xavier Tillman0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.020.00871%0.121-0.0310%-0.02
Brandon Clarke0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.01560%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kyle Anderson0.020,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.020.021252%0.092-0.07367%0.01
Justise Winslow-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.03-0.00831%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Desmond Bane-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Grayson Allen-0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.08-0.08-0.01617%-0.131-0.0200%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.110.14-0.01781%0.2600.002100%0.02
Norman Powell0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.150.150.030.12-0.001248%0.1500.00367%-0.01
Enes Kanter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.020.11-0.001155%0.171-0.0400%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.070.070.17-0.090.011576%0.102-0.04475%-0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.020.00360%0.0100.00475%-0.01
Anfernee Simons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
CJ McCollum0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.11-0.100.021665%0.041-0.052100%0.02
Robert Covington0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01935%-0.032-0.042100%0.01
Damian Lillard0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,-0.07,-0.35-0.35-0.02-0.310.012250%-0.124-0.221080%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.527.415.426.22.037.1133.8
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +58.0%
MEM +11.1%
POR -30.0%
MEM +9.1%
MEM +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMPORNBAMEMPORNBA
this game12.414.914.4123.8120.8111.3
season14.014.9111.2116.9
opponent14.214.5115.1110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM11.613.712.012.412.4
POR15.513.014.616.414.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
De'Anthony Melton53540.94-0.441.380.6410-81811.713.1-1.4014.315.4-1.15
Dillon Brooks79790.54-0.040.590.434-2612.213.0-0.8114.516.0-1.58
Jaren Jackson Jr.56540.54-0.040.580.308-61412.412.40.0414.015.7-1.71
Ja Morant81810.490.010.480.374-2612.312.8-0.4714.615.7-1.13
Kyle Anderson57580.480.020.460.68-79-1611.813.2-1.3614.615.1-0.49
Desmond Bane28280.200.30-0.10-0.017-51212.212.5-0.2416.914.12.76
Xavier Tillman50510.010.49-0.490.15-57-1211.912.9-0.9715.614.11.48
Brandon Clarke4546-0.040.54-0.58-0.257-51213.511.61.8215.714.21.56
Justise Winslow2729-0.070.57-0.640.02-35-813.012.20.7715.714.51.14
Grayson Allen4950-0.581.08-1.66-0.14-1517-3213.711.32.4514.515.2-0.72

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anfernee Simons18160.05-0.550.600.021-3415.614.70.9112.412.40.01
Derrick Jones Jr.2828-0.04-0.460.42-0.040-2215.114.80.3913.512.01.51
CJ McCollum8683-0.23-0.270.05-0.468-101815.313.12.1712.313.0-0.72
Enes Kanter4038-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-108-1816.314.02.3211.812.8-0.96
Robert Covington8786-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.462-4614.317.3-2.9912.611.80.72
Carmelo Anthony4241-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.06-1210-2215.714.31.4611.712.9-1.26
Norman Powell8283-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.36-31-414.516.0-1.5312.412.5-0.03
Damian Lillard8284-0.600.10-0.71-0.46-53-814.516.2-1.7412.611.70.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.67,0.53,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 105, SAS 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.66,0.47,0.32,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.05,091.3%
CHI 102, ORL 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.33,0.31,0.54,0.55,0.27,090.8%
BKN 88, MIA 870.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.54,0.67,0.08,090.6%