inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 95 Excitement1.4 [727] MVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (LAL): +12.0%
Los Angeles Lakers 112 Comeback4.5 [623] LVPKira Lewis Jr. (NOP): -7.1%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Ingram0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.03-0.011565%0.134-0.1010%-0.01
Josh Hart0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01658%0.0100.0000%0.00
Steven Adams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.01450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Naji Marshall0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JJ Redick-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.021152%0.053-0.061100%0.00
Jaxson Hayes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.040.000.05580%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Eric Bledsoe-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.01-0.02750%0.053-0.0600%0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.01875%0.085-0.1000%0.00
Zion Williamson-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.001948%0.024-0.07650%-0.04
Nicolo Melli-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.0030%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Kira Lewis Jr.-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.00825%-0.0700.0000%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.030.011173%0.151-0.0300%0.00
Montrezl Harrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.130.020.051076%0.1000.0010%-0.01
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.040.051172%0.143-0.067100%0.05
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.00462%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kyle Kuzma0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.01-0.041048%0.0510.00367%-0.01
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.100.000.074112%0.0300.0000%0.00
Quinn Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Davis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.011640%-0.0300.001070%-0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.031437%-0.011-0.02475%0.00
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.000.04733%-0.0500.0010%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.23.530.714.727.43.331.4140.0
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +4.3%
LAL +13.4%
LAL +0.8%
LAL +27.3%
LAL +4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPLALNBANOPLALNBA
this game14.715.314.499.0116.7111.3
season14.014.6112.4108.6
opponent14.514.4106.7112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP12.814.917.214.014.7
LAL16.012.815.517.315.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaxson Hayes17180.07-0.570.64-0.178-253311.915.3-3.4015.215.4-0.19
Naji Marshall670.00-0.500.50-0.186-232910.215.0-4.8118.715.13.66
Josh Hart6161-0.07-0.430.37-0.01-2-151314.714.7-0.0614.716.5-1.83
Nickeil Alexander-Walker4242-0.10-0.400.290.04-5-12713.415.7-2.3516.114.71.37
Kira Lewis Jr.2121-0.18-0.320.14-0.211-181914.814.70.1115.815.20.56
Eric Bledsoe3940-0.21-0.290.07-0.01-7-10315.414.21.1514.915.6-0.77
Zion Williamson6666-0.26-0.24-0.030.18-15-2-1315.413.12.2515.614.80.81
Nicolo Melli4544-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.15-6-11513.715.5-1.8214.516.0-1.56
JJ Redick5149-0.43-0.07-0.370.18-214-2515.314.01.2314.915.8-0.91
Steven Adams6464-0.48-0.02-0.470.13-214-2515.413.32.0915.714.61.09
Brandon Ingram6868-0.500.00-0.500.17-236-2915.113.71.3115.514.80.76

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Davis63620.440.060.39-0.1420-32316.013.92.1115.313.61.73
Dennis Schroder57590.430.070.36-0.2122-52715.115.6-0.5415.613.22.42
Alex Caruso37370.430.070.36-0.3627-103714.515.8-1.2714.215.0-0.75
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope48500.420.080.34-0.021521314.616.1-1.5216.013.32.72
Marc Gasol39390.260.240.020.05710-315.914.91.0515.813.91.88
Montrezl Harrell41420.260.240.02-0.211611514.915.7-0.7815.014.40.57
LeBron James61630.210.29-0.09-0.211431115.215.6-0.3915.014.01.08
Kyle Kuzma46440.190.31-0.130.27-320-2315.814.90.9713.615.6-1.92
Quinn Cook760.000.50-0.500.18-623-2918.715.13.6610.215.0-4.81
Alfonzo McKinnie760.000.50-0.500.18-623-2918.715.13.6610.215.0-4.81
Talen Horton-Tucker760.000.50-0.500.18-623-2918.715.13.6610.215.0-4.81
Wesley Matthews3029-0.060.56-0.610.12-623-2915.015.5-0.5213.615.2-1.61
Markieff Morris3737-0.070.57-0.650.19-926-3514.016.2-2.1513.015.7-2.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 76, SAS 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.0%
CLE 89, BOS 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,194.5%
PHI 75, NJN 890.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,194.2%