NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	8.6 [190]		MVP	Keldon Johnson (SAS): +30.1%
San Antonio Spurs	105		Comeback	15.6 [48]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (SAS): -13.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sterling Brown	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.25	0.11	0.15	0.01	17	64%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Christian Wood	0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.24,0.24,0.15	0.05	0.11	0.01	18	64%	0.33	5	-0.17	6	33%	-0.06
P.J. Tucker	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
David Nwaba	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	53%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	12	50%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	45%	0.07	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Mason Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	8	53%	0.05	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.21	0.11	0.02	16	78%	0.32	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.07	-0.04	6	80%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	14	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	33%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	10	35%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	14	42%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	12	42%	0.00	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.4	27.5	16.4	26.5	3.3	35.1	136.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +54.6%

SAS -4.3%

HOU +23.0%

SAS -20.3%

SAS -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	14.4	14.5	14.4	110.1	105.0	111.3
season	14.1	14.6		106.2	109.8
opponent	14.2	14.0		111.3	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.0	16.7	14.5	13.8	14.4
SAS	14.2	14.6	14.9	14.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae'Sean Tate	67	68	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.44	17	-13	30	13.9	15.5	-1.59	15.3	12.8	2.56
David Nwaba	62	63	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.41	7	-3	10	14.7	14.0	0.63	14.7	14.2	0.48
P.J. Tucker	71	73	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	-2	8	14.5	14.3	0.19	15.0	13.3	1.68
Christian Wood	71	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	1	2	14.8	13.5	1.34	14.1	15.5	-1.36
Sterling Brown	74	75	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	4	-4	14.5	14.2	0.25	14.8	13.8	0.96
Kenyon Martin Jr.	34	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	1	2	13.9	14.7	-0.74	14.5	14.5	-0.01
Mason Jones	32	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	6	-8	14.4	14.4	-0.03	14.0	14.8	-0.80
Ben McLemore	46	46	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	11	-18	14.3	14.5	-0.14	13.2	15.6	-2.37
DeMarcus Cousins	38	39	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.10	-7	11	-18	14.6	14.3	0.21	14.2	14.8	-0.60

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonnie Walker IV	51	54	0.45	-0.95	1.40	0.21	8	-12	20	14.3	14.8	-0.54	14.9	13.9	0.94
Devin Vassell	47	47	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.05	5	-9	14	14.3	14.7	-0.34	14.8	14.1	0.77
Jakob Poeltl	33	34	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-7	10	13.7	14.9	-1.27	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Rudy Gay	36	34	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-3	2	14.3	14.6	-0.29	15.4	13.9	1.41
DeMar DeRozan	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-4	4	14.5	14.5	0.03	14.5	14.1	0.38
Dejounte Murray	76	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.49	2	-6	8	14.1	16.0	-1.95	14.1	15.4	-1.31
LaMarcus Aldridge	64	62	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.43	-11	7	-18	14.8	14.0	0.81	14.0	15.1	-1.01
Keldon Johnson	65	64	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.48	-12	8	-20	15.3	13.0	2.29	13.8	15.5	-1.73
Patty Mills	56	53	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.47	-14	10	-24	14.9	14.0	0.85	14.6	14.2	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.68,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.33,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 85, LAC 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.63,0.43,0.15,0	90.3%
ORL 90, TOR 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.64,0.45,0.27,0	90.1%
NOK 91, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.78,0.55,0.28,0	90.0%