NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	91		Excitement	7.5 [340]		MVP	P.J. Brown (NOK): +19.5%
Houston Rockets	84		Comeback	21.2 [37]		LVP	Jon Barry (HOU): -14.1%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.09,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.14	0.01	14	58%	0.23	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15	0.02	0.14	0.02	14	48%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
David West	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.09	-0.00	9	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.08
Chris Andersen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Jackson Vroman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Rasual Butler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
J.R. Smith	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	9	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	11	36%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.05	0.01	9	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.06	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	73%	0.10	5	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	7	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	22	41%	-0.11	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	4	36%	-0.05	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	34.2	18.8	32.2	1.7	36.6	150.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +12.2%

NOK +7.0%

NOK +2.7%

NOK +27.2%

NOK +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	HOU	NBA	NOK	HOU	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.6	101.1	91.3	104.4
season	16.3	16.1		101.2	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.3		101.4	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	17.0	14.3	18.0	14.2	15.8
HOU	15.7	15.7	14.8	17.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	77	76	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.37	13	-6	19	15.4	18.4	-3.00	16.3	13.6	2.66
Bostjan Nachbar	60	59	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.43	11	-4	15	15.0	17.5	-2.57	15.8	15.8	-0.03
Speedy Claxton	54	56	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.24	16	-9	25	16.1	15.4	0.77	16.3	15.1	1.13
Chris Paul	62	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	3	1	15.5	16.5	-1.04	16.1	15.3	0.75
David West	59	61	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	2	3	15.9	15.6	0.37	15.5	16.5	-1.09
Jackson Vroman	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	7	-7	15.6	15.8	-0.27	17.7	15.7	2.04
Rasual Butler	25	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.10	-1	8	-9	16.9	15.4	1.52	15.3	16.1	-0.80
J.R. Smith	43	42	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	15	-23	15.3	16.3	-0.95	15.5	16.1	-0.69
Desmond Mason	26	29	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.20	-1	8	-9	17.7	15.1	2.63	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Chris Andersen	37	40	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.18	-4	11	-15	16.6	15.3	1.27	15.2	16.3	-1.15

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	54	54	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.28	-1	-6	5	15.1	16.9	-1.82	16.9	14.2	2.67
Stromile Swift	36	34	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.03	1	-8	9	16.3	15.5	0.79	16.1	15.7	0.43
Ryan Bowen	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-7	7	0.0	15.8	-15.83	1.0	16.0	-14.99
Luther Head	25	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-7	7	16.0	15.8	0.18	16.9	15.4	1.49
Dikembe Mutombo	18	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	1	-9	16.9	15.6	1.39	18.8	15.1	3.69
Yao Ming	71	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-5	3	15.7	16.3	-0.66	15.6	16.7	-1.16
Juwan Howard	58	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-4	1	15.5	16.4	-0.88	15.8	15.8	-0.00
Derek Anderson	78	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-5	3	15.3	18.6	-3.24	15.4	18.3	-2.91
Rafer Alston	71	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	4	-15	16.1	14.9	1.19	15.6	16.6	-0.98
Jon Barry	49	48	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.44	-9	2	-11	16.8	14.7	2.12	14.5	17.4	-2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.78,0.55,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.55,0.42,0	91.0%
LAC 89, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.67,0.26,0	90.9%
IND 82, BOS 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.9,0.78,0.71,0.27,0	90.9%