NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	134		Excitement	13.8 [2]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +83.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	137		Comeback	68.4 [36]		LVP	Danny Green (PHI): -16.0%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Precious Achiuwa	0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.17,0.24	0.05	0.20	0.01	10	71%	0.31	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.03
Tyler Herro	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.15,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.44,0.21	0.03	0.19	0.01	26	57%	0.48	6	-0.27	8	87%	0.07
Duncan Robinson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.15	-0.03	0.01	18	63%	0.16	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.02
Max Strus	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.04	-0.01	20	56%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Silva	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.05	-0.02	12	62%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	35%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.13,0.41,0.41,0.55,0.84,0.8,0.83	0.83	0.28	0.55	0.00	23	76%	1.06	4	-0.23	13	100%	0.11
Dakota Mathias	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.34	0.34	-0.03	0.35	-0.01	4	30%	0.34	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.00	4	83%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Mike Scott	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.06	-0.00	16	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	18	41%	0.03	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.04	-0.04	0.09	-0.08	0.05	10	62%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	2	83%	0.07	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Green	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.01,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16	-0.16	0.02	-0.18	-0.00	25	58%	-0.01	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	26.6	14.7	26.0	2.7	37.7	1.7	19.8	158.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +62.4%

MIA -15.5%

PHI +33.1%

MIA -28.6%

MIA -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	13.7	13.7	14.4	114.5	119.1	111.3
season	14.6	14.5		109.3	112.6
opponent	14.2	14.9		106.7	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	12.6	13.2	15.4	13.7	13.7	13.7
PHI	12.7	14.0	13.4	15.1	13.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gabe Vincent	70	71	0.48	-0.98	1.45	0.12	12	-15	27	12.8	15.0	-2.14	14.1	13.2	0.90
Duncan Robinson	100	99	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.24	14	-17	31	13.8	12.8	1.00	13.9	12.5	1.44
Max Strus	50	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-4	5	13.3	13.9	-0.62	14.3	13.2	1.11
Chris Silva	35	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	1	-5	13.7	13.7	-0.03	13.2	14.0	-0.77
Kelly Olynyk	100	97	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	0	-3	13.9	12.4	1.48	13.3	15.9	-2.55
Precious Achiuwa	79	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	3	-9	14.0	12.9	1.12	14.5	12.3	2.17
Tyler Herro	89	86	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.25	-17	14	-31	14.3	11.7	2.53	12.7	16.9	-4.22
Andre Iguodala	50	48	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.60	-9	6	-15	12.9	14.3	-1.39	14.1	13.5	0.66

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dakota Mathias	25	25	1.10	-0.60	1.70	0.87	8	-5	13	13.0	13.9	-0.89	12.8	13.9	-1.11
Isaiah Joe	78	78	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.52	6	-3	9	14.9	11.2	3.68	13.2	14.7	-1.53
Danny Green	107	110	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	-4	11	13.8	13.5	0.26	13.9	10.6	3.30
Joel Embiid	85	87	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	-1	5	13.8	13.7	0.05	13.7	13.5	0.28
Mike Scott	100	103	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	0	3	13.6	14.5	-0.91	13.7	13.6	0.12
Dwight Howard	30	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	4	-5	13.7	13.8	-0.05	13.5	13.7	-0.28
Ben Simmons	71	72	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	1	1	12.5	15.7	-3.11	14.3	12.6	1.71
Tyrese Maxey	79	80	-0.77	1.27	-2.03	-0.35	-14	17	-31	14.0	13.2	0.79	13.6	13.9	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.45,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.43,0.15,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.78,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 104, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.32,0.16,0	86.7%
POR 82, LAC 74	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.34,0.09,0	86.0%
NOH 86, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.76,0.72,0.34,0.26,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.84,0.95,1	85.9%