NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	122		Excitement	10.5 [46]		MVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): +47.4%
Detroit Pistons	120		Comeback	2.0 [672]		LVP	Derrick Rose (DET): -21.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0.47	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.47	0.18	0.28	-0.00	16	97%	0.66	6	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.34	0.09	0.24	-0.01	22	55%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0.18	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.10	0.02	8	88%	0.25	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.07
Semi Ojeleye	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.00	7	79%	0.23	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.04,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	10	65%	0.19	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.07
Tristan Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	50%	0.11	1	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Jeff Teague	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Payton Pritchard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.00	8	83%	0.37	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.18	0.02	4	81%	0.27	0	0.00	8	87%	0.11
Sekou Doumbouya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	3	133%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.10	0.04	16	61%	0.21	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.10
Josh Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	10	62%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.15	0.01	14	41%	-0.18	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.08
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	12	46%	-0.10	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.7	27.0	14.8	29.0	2.3	39.5	136.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +128.3%

DET -48.0%

DET -3.6%

DET -29.0%

BOS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	14.4	128.4	123.7	111.3
season	14.5	15.0		112.8	107.0
opponent	14.2	14.5		111.6	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	15.8	12.5	16.9	14.7
DET	16.0	14.9	15.2	15.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	75	75	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.66	2	0	2	15.0	13.4	1.59	14.8	16.8	-1.98
Daniel Theis	52	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.52	-1	3	-4	13.7	15.9	-2.15	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Jaylen Brown	70	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	1	0	13.7	17.6	-3.93	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Marcus Smart	68	71	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.43	-1	3	-4	14.1	16.2	-2.07	15.2	15.6	-0.45
Payton Pritchard	53	55	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	-5	12	15.0	14.3	0.71	14.9	15.8	-0.88
Tristan Thompson	53	55	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	3	-4	14.6	14.8	-0.19	14.9	15.7	-0.79
Robert Williams III	33	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	-1	4	15.6	14.2	1.38	16.5	14.7	1.85
Jeff Teague	30	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	1	0	16.5	13.9	2.57	16.1	14.9	1.21
Semi Ojeleye	41	42	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.24	-1	3	-4	15.8	13.9	1.85	15.9	14.8	1.13

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	44	44	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.09	6	-8	14	16.6	14.2	2.47	15.2	14.3	0.85
Josh Jackson	31	30	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.05	6	-8	14	12.8	16.5	-3.70	14.6	14.8	-0.15
Svi Mykhailiuk	28	26	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-6	10	16.0	15.0	1.05	15.8	14.3	1.52
Isaiah Stewart	31	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-3	4	16.6	14.7	1.90	13.2	15.4	-2.25
Jahlil Okafor	15	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	3	-8	18.0	14.8	3.21	16.5	14.4	2.17
Saddiq Bey	38	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-2	2	15.4	15.2	0.17	15.7	14.0	1.68
Delon Wright	35	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	8	-18	17.4	14.1	3.35	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Mason Plumlee	51	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.41	2	-4	6	13.7	17.0	-3.34	15.1	14.3	0.79
Jerami Grant	71	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.46	1	-3	4	14.9	16.2	-1.29	13.8	17.0	-3.16
Blake Griffin	62	60	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.60	-4	2	-6	14.9	15.9	-0.98	14.0	15.9	-1.87
Sekou Doumbouya	28	27	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.59	-8	6	-14	15.6	15.2	0.40	17.1	13.7	3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 82, NJN 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.73,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.31,0	92.6%
NYK 107, HOU 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.48,0.32,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.31,0.42,0	92.4%
MIA 106, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.26,0	92.3%