NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	6.6 [463]		MVP	Chris Paul (PHX): +33.8%
Denver Nuggets	103		Comeback	2.0 [302]		LVP	Gary Harris (DEN): -21.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.34	0.07	0.26	-0.01	12	66%	0.37	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.10
Deandre Ayton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.00	13	79%	0.21	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.02	-0.05	0.07	-0.00	17	61%	0.25	8	-0.23	2	50%	-0.02
Jevon Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Payne	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.12	-0.01	13	65%	0.22	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.13	0.01	10	50%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.01	0.03	22	66%	0.16	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.01	9	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.01	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	133%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Facundo Campazzo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Dozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	9	32%	-0.18	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	27.3	14.5	32.6	2.4	34.8	139.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +22.9%

PHX +24.1%

PHX +4.1%

DEN -14.1%

PHX +13.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	16.5	14.5	14.4	114.0	110.8	111.3
season	14.7	15.0		115.3	116.0
opponent	14.4	14.7		112.3	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.6	15.2	17.3	19.3	16.5
DEN	13.1	17.5	14.0	13.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Johnson	45	45	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	-11	25	13.8	19.0	-5.18	16.2	12.9	3.30
Frank Kaminsky	19	18	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.08	14	-11	25	16.5	16.5	0.01	16.4	14.0	2.40
Mikal Bridges	68	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	6	-9	17.4	14.0	3.39	14.0	15.7	-1.65
Jevon Carter	27	26	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	-9	21	16.6	16.5	0.06	17.0	13.5	3.54
Chris Paul	64	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	7	-11	16.5	16.6	-0.10	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Langston Galloway	13	13	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	-7	17	16.1	16.6	-0.51	16.5	14.1	2.43
Cameron Payne	29	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	-4	11	16.6	16.5	0.10	15.2	14.1	1.09
Deandre Ayton	74	74	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.48	-11	14	-25	16.5	16.5	-0.01	14.0	16.4	-2.41
Jae Crowder	58	57	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.47	-11	14	-25	17.2	15.4	1.74	13.1	16.6	-3.48
Devin Booker	68	69	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.45	-13	16	-29	16.9	15.5	1.36	13.5	17.1	-3.55

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
R.J. Hampton	4	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-2	1	17.2	14.3	2.92	7.3	16.8	-9.49
Paul Millsap	38	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-3	3	14.2	14.7	-0.50	15.7	17.0	-1.31
Isaiah Hartenstein	17	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-4	5	16.9	13.9	2.97	15.4	16.8	-1.35
Facundo Campazzo	8	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	3	-9	20.0	13.9	6.07	15.1	16.6	-1.49
Gary Harris	70	70	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.45	10	-13	23	13.5	17.3	-3.73	16.7	15.8	0.92
Jamal Murray	76	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.52	10	-13	23	13.7	17.6	-3.84	17.4	12.1	5.31
Nikola Jokic	56	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.28	1	-4	5	13.6	15.7	-2.08	16.6	16.4	0.21
JaMychal Green	25	24	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	8	-19	14.6	14.4	0.15	15.9	16.7	-0.86
Will Barton	70	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-5	7	14.4	14.5	-0.09	17.2	14.6	2.55
PJ Dozier	44	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	12	-27	16.0	13.0	3.03	15.4	17.6	-2.23
Monte Morris	57	57	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.33	-6	3	-9	14.6	14.2	0.33	16.9	16.0	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.23,0.28,0.35,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 113, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.29,0.24,0.04,0	92.9%
LAC 102, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.06,0,0	92.6%
IND 80, CLE 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.23,0.08,0	92.5%